The Greedy Trader Weekly Analysis
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- 12/19/2025 -
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Illinois Tool Works (ITW) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Overbought sector
Daily :The price has fallen below the Parabolic SAR20 Day Moving Average has crossed above the 50 Day Moving AverageThe price has declined below the moving average in the center of the Bollinger Bands
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It was the negative week for the Illinois Tool Works (ITW). During the week, the ITW dropped -7.88 points, or -3.05%, and closed at 250.14 on Friday, December 19, 2025. It was the worst weekly loss since October 10, 2025. Weekly volume was 72% above average.

ITW is a member of Industrials Sector. Industrials is the most overbought sector. Sector/industry rotation is considered a proven strategy to beat the market. Use the following links to find overbought/oversold technical indicators by Sector or by Industry.

Long-term trend: [See ITW long-term trend chart]
A long-term uptrend had started on March 16, 2009 at 25.60 and reached 279.10 on November 27, 2024. ITW gained -253.50 points, or -990.23%, in 819 weeks. The chart has formed a Broadening Ascending Wedge chart pattern. The trend support level is at 164.43 and resistance is at 291.55. A Broadening Ascending Wedge pattern is considered to be a reversal formation. It usually appears in a mature trend, characterized by overbought/oversold long-term and short-term indicators, and often generates divergence on long-term indicators. Use the following link to access a Broadening Ascending Wedge chart pattern help, or use a Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with Broadening Ascending Wedge pattern in a long-term trend.

Medium-term trend: [See ITW medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term downtrend had started on August 25, 2025 at 270.74 and reached 238.82 on November 18, 2025. ITW lost 31.92 points, or 11.79%, in 12 weeks. The price is now at the 35.46% retracement level.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See ITW weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly technical indicators are neutral.

The weekly MACD line is below its signal line since October 3, 2025. This is an indication that the medium-term trend is down. The distance between MACD and the signal line is low and getting smaller. It indicates that the current medium-term downtrend is getting weak. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See ITW short-term trend chart]
A short-term uptrend had started on November 18, 2025 at 238.82 and reached 259.78 on December 15, 2025. ITW gained -20.96 points, or -8.78%, in 27 days. The chart has formed a Rising Channel chart pattern.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See ITW daily technical indicators chart]
Daily technical indicators are neutral.

The daily MACD line is above its signal line since November 6, 2025. This is an indication that the short-term trend is up. The distance between MACD and the signal line is low and getting smaller. It indicates that the current short-term uptrend is getting weak.

During the last week, the price has fallen below the Parabolic SAR (stop and reversal). A Parabolic SAR above the price is a bearish signal, and it indicates that momentum is likely to remain in the downward direction. A Parabolic SAR is used as a trailing stop loss for long or short positions. It works best during strong trending periods. Use the following links to access Parabolic SAR Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the Parabolic SAR close to the price level.

During the last week, the price has declined below the moving average in the center of the Bollinger Bands. The Bollinger Bands are often used with a non-oscillator indicator like chart patterns or a trendline. The signals are considered more reliable if these indicators confirm the recommendation of the Bollinger Bands. Use the following links to access the Bollinger Bands Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the price above the Upper Bollinger Band or below the Lower Bollinger Band.

During the last week, the 20 Day Moving Average has advanced above the 50 Day Moving Average. Such crossover is considered a bullish signal. The moving average crossover signals work better when the stock develops a strong trend, but they are ineffective when the stock is in a trading range. Moving average crossover systems can be effective, but should be used in conjunction with trend patterns, momentum indicators, candlesticks and other aspects of technical analysis. Use the following links to access Moving Average Crossover trading technique, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the Moving Average close to the price level.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 54.33
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 49.80
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 46.52
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 50.34
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 1.42
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 37.56
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 63.20
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 44.22
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 42.68
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) -0.97
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Yearly Trendline Resistance 291.55
Parabolic System 260.04
Upper Bollinger Band 258.32
Daily Stochastic Crossing 251.22
20 Day Moving Average 250.43
Price 250.14
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 249.95
50 Day Moving Average 247.83
Lower Bollinger Band 242.83
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector Industrials 10
Industry Industrial Machinery 83
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Rising Channel
Low 238.82
Low Date 11/18/2025
High 259.78
High Date 12/15/2025
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 270.74
High Date 08/25/2025
Low 238.82
Low Date 11/18/2025
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 214.70
Low Date 04/08/2025
High 270.74
High Date 08/25/2025
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 279.10
High Date 11/27/2024
Low 214.70
Low Date 04/08/2025
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Broadening Ascending Wedge
Status Valid
Resistance 291.55
Support 164.43
Low 25.60
Low Date 03/16/2009
High 279.10
High Date 11/27/2024
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.