The Greedy Trader Weekly Analysis
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Uptrend Exhaustion

Uptrend Exhaustion stock alert presents a technical analysis stock market picking technique based on combination of technical indicators, stock trend analysis, trend following indicators and pattern recognition. Stock market alert is a warning signal. Uptrend Exhaustion alert indicates that long term uptrend is exhausted and probability of long term trend reversal is high. Uptrend exhaustion stock market alert presents relatively low to medium risk - high reword stock pick for overvalued stocks.

The strategy is based on selling (or taking a short) position on anticipation of uptrend reversal.

Uptrend Exhaustion

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- 1/16/2026 -
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FedEx Corporation (FDX) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Overbought sectorRelative Strength Index, Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are strongly overboughtTrend resistance at 310.93Trend resistance at 292.14
Daily :Broken uptrend resistance line - uptrend exhaustionWilliams' Percentage Range is overboughtStochastic signal line moved below overbought areaA Parabolic SAR indicator is above and near the price
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It was the negative week for the FedEx Corporation (FDX). During the week, the FDX dropped -4.18 points, or -1.34%, and closed at 308.18 on Friday, January 16, 2026. It was the worst weekly loss since October 10, 2025. Weekly volume was -13% below average.

FDX is a member of Industrials Sector. Industrials is the most overbought sector. Sector/industry rotation is considered a proven strategy to beat the market. Use the following links to find overbought/oversold technical indicators by Sector or by Industry.

Long-term trend: [See FDX long-term trend chart]
A long-term uptrend had started on March 17, 2020 at 88.69 and reached 319.90 on May 27, 2021. FDX gained -231.21 points, or -260.69%, in 62 weeks. The chart has formed a Ascending Triangle chart pattern. The price is near the trend resistance line (310.93). The resistance is usually stronger when technical indicators are overbought. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with price testing the trend resistance line in a long-term trend.

Medium-term trend: [See FDX medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term downtrend had started on July 16, 2024 at 313.84 and reached 194.30 on April 9, 2025. FDX lost 119.54 points, or 38.09%, in 38 weeks. The chart has formed a Broadening Descending Wedge chart pattern. The price is near the trend resistance line (292.14). The resistance is usually stronger when technical indicators are overbought. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with price testing the trend resistance line in a medium-term trend.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See FDX weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly Relative Strength Index, Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are strongly overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with strongly overbought weekly overbought Relative Strength Index, Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following links to access Lane's Stochastic, Relative Strength Index and Williams' Percentage Range help.

The weekly MACD line is above its signal line since June 6, 2025. The distance between MACD and the signal line is near its high and getting bigger. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See FDX short-term trend chart]
A short-term uptrend had started on August 4, 2025 at 216.10 and reached 318.83 on January 9, 2026. FDX gained -102.73 points, or -47.54%, in 158 days. The chart has formed a Broadening Ascending Wedge chart pattern. The uptrend resistance line (236.79) is broken, while daily and weekly technical indicators are overbought. Uptrend is exhausted and trend reversal is possible soon. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend resistance line in a short-term trend.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See FDX daily technical indicators chart]
Daily Williams' Percentage Range is overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with overbought daily Williams' Percentage Range. During the last week, daily Lane's Stochastic signal line (%D) has moved below overbought area. Such crossover is considered a bearish signal.

The daily MACD line is above its signal line since January 5, 2026. This is an indication that the short-term trend is up. The distance between MACD and the signal line is low and getting smaller. It indicates that the current short-term uptrend is getting weak.

A Parabolic SAR (stop and reversal) indicator (305.94) comes close to the price (308.18). It indicates that the trend is getting weaker. A Parabolic SAR is used as a trailing stop loss for long or short positions. It works best during strong trending periods. Use the following links to access Parabolic SAR Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the Parabolic SAR close to the price level.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 63.43
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 12.10
Overbought
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 72.31
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 74.53
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 8.89
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 91.32
Strong Overbought
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 6.00
Strong Overbought
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 92.82
Strong Overbought
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 85.44
Overbought
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 10.57
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Upper Bollinger Band 318.89
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 314.91
Daily Stochastic Crossing 314.64
Yearly Trendline Resistance 310.93
Price 308.18
Parabolic System 305.94
20 Day Moving Average 300.63
Quarterly Trendline Resistance 292.14
50 Day Moving Average 282.87
Lower Bollinger Band 281.94
Weekly Trendline Resistance 278.49
Monthly Trendline Resistance 258.62
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector Industrials 11
Industry Air Freight & Logistics 122
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Rising Channel
Low 224.61
Low Date 10/10/2025
High 318.83
High Date 01/09/2026
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Broadening Ascending Wedge
Status Broken Resistance
Resistance 278.49
Support 236.79
Low 216.10
Low Date 08/04/2025
High 318.83
High Date 01/09/2026
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Rising Wedge
Status Broken Resistance
Resistance 258.62
Support 243.06
Low 194.30
Low Date 04/09/2025
High 318.83
High Date 01/09/2026
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern Broadening Descending Wedge
Status Test Resistance
Resistance 292.14
Support 110.46
High 313.84
High Date 07/16/2024
Low 194.30
Low Date 04/09/2025
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Ascending Triangle
Status Test Resistance
Resistance 310.93
Support 211.09
Low 88.69
Low Date 03/17/2020
High 319.90
High Date 05/27/2021
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.