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Uptrend Exhaustion

Uptrend Exhaustion stock alert presents a technical analysis stock market picking technique based on combination of technical indicators, stock trend analysis, trend following indicators and pattern recognition. Stock market alert is a warning signal. Uptrend Exhaustion alert indicates that long term uptrend is exhausted and probability of long term trend reversal is high. Uptrend exhaustion stock market alert presents relatively low to medium risk - high reword stock pick for overvalued stocks.

The strategy is based on selling (or taking a short) position on anticipation of uptrend reversal.

Uptrend Exhaustion

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- 10/16/2026 -
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FedEx Corporation (FDX) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Broken trend resistance lineWilliams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are oversold
Daily :Lane's Stochastic bearish divergenceBearish Dark Cloud Cover CandlestickThe period of low volatility of the stock price
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It was a third positive week after 4 consecutive negative weeks for the FedEx Corporation (FDX). During the week, the FDX climbed 1.84 points, or 0.63%, and closed at 293.55 on Friday, October 16, 2026. Weekly volume was -42% below average.

Long-term trend: [See FDX long-term trend chart]
A long-term uptrend had started on September 27, 2022 at 141.92 and reached 413.87 on May 29, 2026. FDX gained -271.95 points, or -191.62%, in 191 weeks. The chart has formed a Broadening Ascending Wedge chart pattern. The trend support level is at 225.81 and resistance is at 434.56. A Broadening Ascending Wedge pattern is considered to be a reversal formation. It usually appears in a mature trend, characterized by overbought/oversold long-term and short-term indicators, and often generates divergence on long-term indicators. Use the following link to access a Broadening Ascending Wedge chart pattern help, or use a Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with Broadening Ascending Wedge pattern in a long-term trend.

Medium-term trend: [See FDX medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term downtrend had started on May 29, 2026 at 413.87 and reached 279.23 on September 25, 2026. FDX lost 134.64 points, or 32.53%, in 17 weeks. The chart has formed a Falling Wedge chart pattern. The downtrend resistance line (270.74) is broken. A broken support is considered to be a long-term bullish signal. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend resistance line in a medium-term trend.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See FDX weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are oversold. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with weekly oversold Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following links to access Lane's Stochastic and Williams' Percentage Range help.

The weekly MACD line is below its signal line since May 1, 2026. This is an indication that the medium-term trend is down. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See FDX short-term trend chart]
A short-term downtrend had started on August 14, 2026 at 341.69 and reached 279.23 on September 25, 2026. FDX lost 62.46 points, or 18.28%, in 42 days. The chart has formed a Broadening Right-Angled, Descending Wedge chart pattern. The trend support level is at 249.84 and resistance is at 336.96. Use the following link to access a Broadening Right-Angled, Descending Wedge chart pattern help, or use a Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with Broadening Right-Angled, Descending Wedge pattern in a short-term trend.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See FDX daily technical indicators chart]
Daily technical indicators are neutral. Daily Lane's Stochastic has bearish divergence. Use the following links to access the Lane's Stochastic help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with daily Lane's Stochastic bearish divergence. The divergence between price and indicator is considering one of the most important buy/sell stocks trading signal.

The daily MACD line is above its signal line since October 5, 2026. The distance between MACD and the signal line is low, but getting bigger.

The distance between the Bollinger Bands is falling, and it was 5.23% on Friday. It is 62.25% lower than one year average. It indicates the period of low volatility of the stock price. The Bollinger Bands are often used with a non-oscillator indicator like chart patterns or a trendline. The signals are considered more reliable if these indicators confirm the recommendation of the Bollinger Bands. Use the following links to access the Bollinger Bands Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the price above the Upper Bollinger Band or below the Lower Bollinger Band.

Candlestick pattern: [See FDX candlestick chart pattern]
On Friday the chart has formed a Bearish Dark Cloud Cover Candlestick pattern. Bearish Dark Cloud Cover pattern is a trend reversal indicator which signifies the end of an uptrend and the start of a downtrend. The reliability of the Bearish Dark Cloud Cover pattern is considered a highly reliable pattern of market reversalUse the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks that had a Bearish Dark Cloud Cover Candlestick pattern during the last week.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 58.49
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 27.70
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 74.60
Bearish
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 68.45
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) -5.80
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 40.08
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 87.10
Oversold
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 14.53
Oversold
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 23.96
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) -5.50
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Weekly Trendline Resistance 336.96
50 Day Moving Average 309.38
Upper Bollinger Band 302.20
Daily Stochastic Crossing 295.52
Price 293.55
20 Day Moving Average 290.10
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 288.28
Lower Bollinger Band 286.82
Parabolic System 286.62
Monthly Trendline Resistance 281.77
Monthly Trendline Support 270.74
Weekly Trendline Support 249.84
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector Industrials 3
Industry Air Freight & Logistics 50
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Low 279.23
Low Date 09/25/2026
High 299.20
High Date 10/16/2026
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern Broadening Right-Angled, Descending Wedge
Status Valid
Resistance 336.96
Support 249.84
High 341.69
High Date 08/14/2026
Low 279.23
Low Date 09/25/2026
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern Falling Wedge
Status Broken Resistance
Resistance 281.77
Support 270.74
High 413.87
High Date 05/29/2026
Low 279.23
Low Date 09/25/2026
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Broadening Ascending Wedge
Status Valid
Resistance 434.56
Support 225.81
Low 141.92
Low Date 09/27/2022
High 413.87
High Date 05/29/2026
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 88.69
Low Date 03/17/2020
High 413.87
High Date 05/29/2026
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.