The Greedy Trader Weekly Analysis
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Uptrend Exhaustion

Uptrend Exhaustion stock alert presents a technical analysis stock market picking technique based on combination of technical indicators, stock trend analysis, trend following indicators and pattern recognition. Stock market alert is a warning signal. Uptrend Exhaustion alert indicates that long term uptrend is exhausted and probability of long term trend reversal is high. Uptrend exhaustion stock market alert presents relatively low to medium risk - high reword stock pick for overvalued stocks.

The strategy is based on selling (or taking a short) position on anticipation of uptrend reversal.

Uptrend Exhaustion

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- 1/2/2026 -
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Deere & Co. (DE) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Overbought sectorBroken trend resistance line
Daily :20 Day Moving Average has crossed below the 50 Day Moving AverageMACD bullish divergencePrice is near the Fibonacci 23.6% retracement level
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It was the negative week for the Deere & Co. (DE). During the week, the DE gave back -2.13 points, or -0.45%, and closed at 466.80 on Friday, January 2, 2026. Weekly volume was -31% below average.

DE is a member of Industrials Sector. Industrials is the most overbought sector. Sector/industry rotation is considered a proven strategy to beat the market. Use the following links to find overbought/oversold technical indicators by Sector or by Industry.

Long-term trend: [See DE long-term trend chart]
A long-term uptrend had started on October 8, 1998 at 13.78 and reached 533.78 on May 16, 2025. DE gained -520.00 points, or -3773.58%, in 1388 weeks. The chart has formed a Broadening Ascending Wedge chart pattern. The uptrend resistance line (88.28) is broken. Usually a broken resistance is considered to be a long-term bullish signal, although a short-term pull back is possible. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend resistance line in a long-term trend.

Medium-term trend: [See DE medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term downtrend had started on May 16, 2025 at 533.78 and reached 433.00 on October 14, 2025. DE lost 100.78 points, or 18.88%, in 21 weeks. The price is now at the 33.54% retracement level.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See DE weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly technical indicators are neutral.

The weekly MACD line is below its signal line since December 19, 2025. This is an indication that the medium-term trend is down. The distance between MACD and the signal line is low, but getting bigger. It indicates that the current medium-term downtrend is getting stronger. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See DE short-term trend chart]
A short-term downtrend had started on November 25, 2025 at 500.52 and reached 455.91 on December 10, 2025. DE lost 44.61 points, or 8.91%, in 15 days. Price is near the Fibonacci 23.6% retracement level. The Fibonacci retracement level is considered a support/resistance level.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See DE daily technical indicators chart]
Daily technical indicators are neutral. Daily MACD has bullish divergence. Use the following links to access the MACD help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with daily MACD bullish divergence. The divergence between price and indicator is considering one of the most important buy/sell stocks trading signal. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals.

The daily MACD line is below its signal line since December 18, 2025. This is an indication that the short-term trend is down. The distance between MACD and the signal line is low and getting smaller. It indicates that the current short-term downtrend is getting weak.

During the last week, the 20 Day Moving Average has crossed below the 50 Day Moving Average. Such crossover is considered a bearish signal. The moving average crossover signals work better when the stock develops a strong trend, but they are ineffective when the stock is in a trading range. Moving average crossover systems can be effective, but should be used in conjunction with trend patterns, momentum indicators, candlesticks and other aspects of technical analysis. Use the following links to access Moving Average Crossover trading technique, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the Moving Average close to the price level.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 39.57
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 70.70
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 22.22
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 30.35
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) -0.81 Bullish
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 50.99
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 59.50
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 49.97
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 47.12
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) -2.06
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Upper Bollinger Band 486.56
Parabolic System 485.68
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 477.55
50 Day Moving Average 473.38
20 Day Moving Average 473.05
Price 466.80
Daily Stochastic Crossing 462.27
Lower Bollinger Band 456.99
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector Industrials 11
Industry Agricultural & Farm Machinery 54
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
High 500.52
High Date 11/25/2025
Low 455.91
Low Date 12/10/2025
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 433.00
Low Date 10/14/2025
High 500.52
High Date 11/25/2025
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 533.78
High Date 05/16/2025
Low 433.00
Low Date 10/14/2025
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 340.20
Low Date 08/05/2024
High 533.78
High Date 05/16/2025
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Broadening Ascending Wedge
Status Broken Resistance
Resistance 214.82
Support 88.28
Low 13.78
Low Date 10/08/1998
High 533.78
High Date 05/16/2025
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.