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Uptrend Exhaustion

Uptrend Exhaustion stock alert presents a technical analysis stock market picking technique based on combination of technical indicators, stock trend analysis, trend following indicators and pattern recognition. Stock market alert is a warning signal. Uptrend Exhaustion alert indicates that long term uptrend is exhausted and probability of long term trend reversal is high. Uptrend exhaustion stock market alert presents relatively low to medium risk - high reword stock pick for overvalued stocks.

The strategy is based on selling (or taking a short) position on anticipation of uptrend reversal.

Uptrend Exhaustion

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- 1/9/2026 -
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Air Products & Chemicals (APD) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :
Daily :Relative Strength Index, Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are overboughtPrice has crossed above the 50 Day Moving Average
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It was a third positive week after 3 consecutive negative weeks for the Air Products & Chemicals (APD). During the week, the APD gained 13.25 points, or 5.29%, and closed at 263.72 on Friday, January 9, 2026. It was the best weekly gain since November 7, 2025. Weekly volume was 26% above average.

Long-term trend: [See APD long-term trend chart]
A long-term uptrend had started on March 8, 2000 at 23.00 and reached 341.10 on February 4, 2025. APD gained -318.10 points, or -1383.04%, in 1299 weeks. The chart has formed a Broadening Ascending Wedge chart pattern. The trend support level is at 157.67 and resistance is at 358.44. A Broadening Ascending Wedge pattern is considered to be a reversal formation. It usually appears in a mature trend, characterized by overbought/oversold long-term and short-term indicators, and often generates divergence on long-term indicators. Use the following link to access a Broadening Ascending Wedge chart pattern help, or use a Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with Broadening Ascending Wedge pattern in a long-term trend.

Medium-term trend: [See APD medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term downtrend had started on February 4, 2025 at 341.10 and reached 229.11 on December 10, 2025. APD lost 111.99 points, or 32.83%, in 44 weeks. The chart has formed a Falling Wedge chart pattern. The trend support level is at 229.74 and resistance is at 268.00. A Falling Wedge is a triangle formation with a noticeable slant to the downside. It represents the loss of a downside momentum on each successive low and has a bullish bias. The Falling wedge usually marks a reversal in a downtrend. In an uptrend a falling wedge is considered to be a continuation pattern. Use the following link to access a Falling Wedge chart pattern help, or use a Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with Falling Wedge pattern in a medium-term trend.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See APD weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly technical indicators are neutral.

The weekly MACD line is below its signal line since September 19, 2025. This is an indication that the medium-term trend is down. The distance between MACD and the signal line is low and getting smaller. It indicates that the current medium-term downtrend is getting weak. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See APD short-term trend chart]
A short-term uptrend had started on December 10, 2025 at 229.11 and reached 265.70 on January 9, 2026. APD gained -36.59 points, or -15.97%, in 30 days. The price is now at the 5.41% retracement level.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See APD daily technical indicators chart]
Daily Relative Strength Index, Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with overbought daily Relative Strength Index, Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following links to access Lane's Stochastic, Relative Strength Index and Williams' Percentage Range help.

The daily MACD line is above its signal line since December 22, 2025. This is an indication that the short-term trend is up. The distance between MACD and the signal line is relatively high and getting bigger. It indicates that the current short-term uptrend is strong.

During the last week, the price has advanced above the 50 Day Moving Average. While the medium-term trend is down and daily technical indicators are overbought, the 50 Day Moving Average is considered a resistance level. The moving average crossover signals work better when the stock develops a strong trend, but they are ineffective when the stock is in a trading range. Moving average crossover systems can be effective, but should be used in conjunction with trend patterns, momentum indicators, candlesticks and other aspects of technical analysis. Use the following links to access Moving Average Crossover trading technique, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the Moving Average close to the price level.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 80.75
Overbought
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 19.70
Overbought
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 89.38
Overbought
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 83.48
Overbought
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 0.17
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 46.14
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 56.70
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 49.83
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 47.86
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) -9.13
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Quarterly Trendline Resistance 268.00
Upper Bollinger Band 266.12
Price 263.72
Daily Stochastic Crossing 263.35
Parabolic System 254.06
50 Day Moving Average 251.25
20 Day Moving Average 249.00
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 248.92
Monthly Trendline Resistance 241.63
Lower Bollinger Band 238.70
Quarterly Trendline Support 229.74
Monthly Trendline Support 223.74
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector Materials 7
Industry Industrial Gases 39
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Low 238.60
Low Date 12/19/2025
High 265.70
High Date 01/09/2026
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 229.11
Low Date 12/10/2025
High 265.70
High Date 01/09/2026
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern Falling Wedge
Status Broken Resistance
Resistance 241.63
Support 223.74
High 301.11
High Date 08/22/2025
Low 229.11
Low Date 12/10/2025
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern Falling Wedge
Status Valid
Resistance 268.00
Support 229.74
High 341.10
High Date 02/04/2025
Low 229.11
Low Date 12/10/2025
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Broadening Ascending Wedge
Status Valid
Resistance 358.44
Support 157.67
Low 23.00
Low Date 03/08/2000
High 341.10
High Date 02/04/2025
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.