The Greedy Trader Weekly Analysis
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Uptrend Exhaustion

Uptrend Exhaustion stock alert presents a technical analysis stock market picking technique based on combination of technical indicators, stock trend analysis, trend following indicators and pattern recognition. Stock market alert is a warning signal. Uptrend Exhaustion alert indicates that long term uptrend is exhausted and probability of long term trend reversal is high. Uptrend exhaustion stock market alert presents relatively low to medium risk - high reword stock pick for overvalued stocks.

The strategy is based on selling (or taking a short) position on anticipation of uptrend reversal.

Uptrend Exhaustion

Archive
- 9/5/2025 -
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Air Products & Chemicals (APD) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Lane's Stochastic and MACD bearish divergenceBroken trend resistance lineBroken trend resistance line
Daily :Daily  MACD line has moved below its signal lineThe price has fallen below the Parabolic SARPrice has crossed below the 50 Day Moving AverageThe price has declined below the moving average in the center of the Bollinger BandsThe period of low volatility of the stock price
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It was the negative week for the Air Products & Chemicals (APD). During the week, the APD dropped -4.25 points, or -1.45%, and closed at 289.86 on Friday, September 5, 2025. Weekly volume was -49% below average.

Long-term trend: [See APD long-term trend chart]
A long-term uptrend had started on March 8, 2000 at 23.00 and reached 341.10 on February 4, 2025. APD gained -318.10 points, or -1383.04%, in 1299 weeks. The chart has formed a Broadening Ascending Wedge chart pattern. The uptrend resistance line (155.78) is broken. Usually a broken resistance is considered to be a long-term bullish signal, although a short-term pull back is possible. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend resistance line in a long-term trend.

Medium-term trend: [See APD medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term downtrend had started on February 4, 2025 at 341.10 and reached 243.70 on April 8, 2025. APD lost 97.40 points, or 28.55%, in 9 weeks. The chart has formed a Symmetric Triangle chart pattern. The downtrend resistance line (288.95) is broken. A broken support is considered to be a long-term bullish signal. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend resistance line in a medium-term trend.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See APD weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly technical indicators are neutral. Weekly Lane's Stochastic and MACD have bearish divergence. Use the following links to access the Lane's Stochastic and MACD help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with weekly Lane's Stochastic and MACD bearish divergence. The divergence between price and indicator is considering one of the most important buy/sell stocks trading signal. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following link to access Lane's Stochastic help.

The weekly MACD line is above its signal line since June 27, 2025. The distance between MACD and the signal line is low and getting smaller. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See APD short-term trend chart]
A short-term uptrend had started on August 1, 2025 at 278.41 and reached 301.11 on August 22, 2025. APD gained -22.70 points, or -8.15%, in 21 days. The price is now at the 49.56% retracement level.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See APD daily technical indicators chart]
Daily technical indicators are neutral.

During the last week, daily MACD line has moved below its signal line. Such crossover is considered a bearish signal.

During the last week, the price has fallen below the Parabolic SAR (stop and reversal). A Parabolic SAR above the price is a bearish signal, and it indicates that momentum is likely to remain in the downward direction. A Parabolic SAR is used as a trailing stop loss for long or short positions. It works best during strong trending periods. Use the following links to access Parabolic SAR Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the Parabolic SAR close to the price level.

During the last week, the price has declined below the moving average in the center of the Bollinger Bands. The distance between the Bollinger Bands is falling, and it was 4.39% on Friday. It is 59.60% lower than one year average. It indicates the period of low volatility of the stock price. The Bollinger Bands are often used with a non-oscillator indicator like chart patterns or a trendline. The signals are considered more reliable if these indicators confirm the recommendation of the Bollinger Bands. Use the following links to access the Bollinger Bands Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the price above the Upper Bollinger Band or below the Lower Bollinger Band.

During the last week, the price has crossed below the 50 Day Moving Average. Such crossover is considered a bearish signal. The moving average crossover signals work better when the stock develops a strong trend, but they are ineffective when the stock is in a trading range. Moving average crossover systems can be effective, but should be used in conjunction with trend patterns, momentum indicators, candlesticks and other aspects of technical analysis. Use the following links to access Moving Average Crossover trading technique, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the Moving Average close to the price level.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 48.80
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 49.90
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 26.33
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 41.75
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 0.91
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 56.48
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 21.50
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 68.33
Bearish
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 66.50
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) -1.37 Bearish
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Parabolic System 301.10
Upper Bollinger Band 298.29
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 294.23
20 Day Moving Average 291.88
50 Day Moving Average 291.28
Price 289.86
Monthly Trendline Resistance 289.67
Monthly Trendline Support 288.95
Daily Stochastic Crossing 288.59
Lower Bollinger Band 285.58
Yearly Trendline Resistance 243.88
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector Materials 4
Industry Industrial Gases 76
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Low 278.41
Low Date 08/01/2025
High 301.11
High Date 08/22/2025
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 243.70
Low Date 04/08/2025
High 301.11
High Date 08/22/2025
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern Symmetric Triangle
Status Broken Resistance
Resistance 289.67
Support 288.95
High 341.10
High Date 02/04/2025
Low 243.70
Low Date 04/08/2025
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 212.24
Low Date 02/06/2024
High 341.10
High Date 02/04/2025
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Broadening Ascending Wedge
Status Broken Resistance
Resistance 243.88
Support 155.78
Low 23.00
Low Date 03/08/2000
High 341.10
High Date 02/04/2025
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.