The Greedy Trader Weekly Analysis
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Uptrend Exhaustion

Uptrend Exhaustion stock alert presents a technical analysis stock market picking technique based on combination of technical indicators, stock trend analysis, trend following indicators and pattern recognition. Stock market alert is a warning signal. Uptrend Exhaustion alert indicates that long term uptrend is exhausted and probability of long term trend reversal is high. Uptrend exhaustion stock market alert presents relatively low to medium risk - high reword stock pick for overvalued stocks.

The strategy is based on selling (or taking a short) position on anticipation of uptrend reversal.

Uptrend Exhaustion

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- 10/3/2025 -
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Air Products & Chemicals (APD) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Oversold sectorBroken trend resistance lineWilliams' Percentage Range is oversoldBroken trend support line
Daily :Williams' Percentage Range is oversoldStochastic has raised above the signal line
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It was a first positive week for the Air Products & Chemicals (APD). During the week, the APD gained 4.69 points, or 1.76%, and closed at 271.47 on Friday, October 3, 2025. It was the best weekly gain since August 22, 2025. Weekly volume was 12% above average.

APD is a member of Materials Sector. Materials is the second most oversold sector. Sector/industry rotation is considered a proven strategy to beat the market. Use the following links to find overbought/oversold technical indicators by Sector or by Industry.

Long-term trend: [See APD long-term trend chart]
A long-term uptrend had started on March 8, 2000 at 23.00 and reached 341.10 on February 4, 2025. APD gained -318.10 points, or -1383.04%, in 1299 weeks. The chart has formed a Broadening Ascending Wedge chart pattern. The uptrend resistance line (156.22) is broken. Usually a broken resistance is considered to be a long-term bullish signal, although a short-term pull back is possible. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend resistance line in a long-term trend.

Medium-term trend: [See APD medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term uptrend had started on April 8, 2025 at 243.70 and reached 301.11 on August 22, 2025. APD gained -57.41 points, or -23.56%, in 19 weeks. The chart has formed a Ascending Triangle chart pattern. The uptrend support line (297.73) is broken. Usually a broken support is considered to be a long-term bearish signal, but since daily indicators are oversold a short-term pull back is possible. APD may retest the broken support line. It is considered to be a resistance line now. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend support in a medium-term trend.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See APD weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly Williams' Percentage Range is oversold. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with weekly oversold Williams' Percentage Range. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following link to access Williams' Percentage Range help.

The weekly MACD line is below its signal line since September 19, 2025. The distance between MACD and the signal line is low, but getting bigger. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See APD short-term trend chart]
A short-term downtrend had started on August 22, 2025 at 301.11 and reached 265.10 on September 26, 2025. APD lost 36.01 points, or 11.96%, in 35 days. The price is now at the 17.69% retracement level.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See APD daily technical indicators chart]
Daily Williams' Percentage Range is oversold. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with daily oversold Williams' Percentage Range. During the last week, daily Lane's Stochastic main line (%K) has rallied above the oversold signal line (%D). Such crossover is considered a bullish signal. Use the following link to access Lane's Stochastic help.

The daily MACD line is below its signal line since September 2, 2025. This is an indication that the short-term trend is down.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 32.80
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 85.80
Oversold
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 21.34
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 22.79
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) -4.55
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 44.28
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 86.90
Oversold
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 37.47
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 31.30
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) -0.78
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Weekly Trendline Resistance 301.88
Upper Bollinger Band 298.77
Weekly Trendline Support 297.73
50 Day Moving Average 287.33
20 Day Moving Average 281.07
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 276.62
Parabolic System 274.49
Price 271.47
Daily Stochastic Crossing 267.98
Lower Bollinger Band 259.15
Yearly Trendline Resistance 244.52
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector Materials 2
Industry Industrial Gases 37
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
High 301.11
High Date 08/22/2025
Low 265.10
Low Date 09/26/2025
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Ascending Triangle
Status Broken Support
Resistance 301.88
Support 297.73
Low 243.70
Low Date 04/08/2025
High 301.11
High Date 08/22/2025
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 341.10
High Date 02/04/2025
Low 243.70
Low Date 04/08/2025
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 212.24
Low Date 02/06/2024
High 341.10
High Date 02/04/2025
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Broadening Ascending Wedge
Status Broken Resistance
Resistance 244.52
Support 156.22
Low 23.00
Low Date 03/08/2000
High 341.10
High Date 02/04/2025
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.