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Uptrend Exhaustion

Uptrend Exhaustion stock alert presents a technical analysis stock market picking technique based on combination of technical indicators, stock trend analysis, trend following indicators and pattern recognition. Stock market alert is a warning signal. Uptrend Exhaustion alert indicates that long term uptrend is exhausted and probability of long term trend reversal is high. Uptrend exhaustion stock market alert presents relatively low to medium risk - high reword stock pick for overvalued stocks.

The strategy is based on selling (or taking a short) position on anticipation of uptrend reversal.

Uptrend Exhaustion

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- 12/12/2025 -
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Air Products & Chemicals (APD) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Williams' Percentage Range is oversoldLane's Stochastic bullish divergence
Daily :Daily  MACD line has moved below its signal lineThe price has fallen below the Parabolic SAR20 Day Moving Average has crossed below the 50 Day Moving AveragePrice is near the Fibonacci 38.2% retracement levelThe price has declined below the moving average in the center of the Bollinger Bands
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It was the negative week for the Air Products & Chemicals (APD). During the week, the APD dropped -17.69 points, or -6.79%, and closed at 243.00 on Friday, December 12, 2025. It was the worst weekly loss since September 26, 2025. Weekly volume was 162% above average.

Long-term trend: [See APD long-term trend chart]
A long-term uptrend had started on March 8, 2000 at 23.00 and reached 341.10 on February 4, 2025. APD gained -318.10 points, or -1383.04%, in 1299 weeks. The chart has formed a Broadening Ascending Wedge chart pattern. The trend support level is at 157.28 and resistance is at 357.49. A Broadening Ascending Wedge pattern is considered to be a reversal formation. It usually appears in a mature trend, characterized by overbought/oversold long-term and short-term indicators, and often generates divergence on long-term indicators. Use the following link to access a Broadening Ascending Wedge chart pattern help, or use a Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with Broadening Ascending Wedge pattern in a long-term trend.

Medium-term trend: [See APD medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term downtrend had started on August 22, 2025 at 301.11 and reached 229.11 on December 10, 2025. APD lost 72.00 points, or 23.91%, in 15 weeks. The price is now at the 19.29% retracement level.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See APD weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly Williams' Percentage Range is oversold. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with weekly oversold Williams' Percentage Range. Weekly Lane's Stochastic has bullish divergence. Use the following links to access the Lane's Stochastic help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with weekly Lane's Stochastic bullish divergence. The divergence between price and indicator is considering one of the most important buy/sell stocks trading signal. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following links to access Lane's Stochastic and Williams' Percentage Range help.

The weekly MACD line is below its signal line since September 19, 2025. This is an indication that the medium-term trend is down. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See APD short-term trend chart]
A short-term downtrend had started on November 12, 2025 at 265.79 and reached 229.11 on December 10, 2025. APD lost 36.68 points, or 13.80%, in 28 days. Price is near the Fibonacci 38.2% retracement level. The Fibonacci retracement level is considered a support/resistance level.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See APD daily technical indicators chart]
Daily technical indicators are neutral.

During the last week, daily MACD line has moved below its signal line. Such crossover is considered a bearish signal.

During the last week, the price has fallen below the Parabolic SAR (stop and reversal). A Parabolic SAR above the price is a bearish signal, and it indicates that momentum is likely to remain in the downward direction. A Parabolic SAR is used as a trailing stop loss for long or short positions. It works best during strong trending periods. Use the following links to access Parabolic SAR Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the Parabolic SAR close to the price level.

During the last week, the price has declined below the moving average in the center of the Bollinger Bands. The Bollinger Bands are often used with a non-oscillator indicator like chart patterns or a trendline. The signals are considered more reliable if these indicators confirm the recommendation of the Bollinger Bands. Use the following links to access the Bollinger Bands Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the price above the Upper Bollinger Band or below the Lower Bollinger Band.

During the last week, the 20 Day Moving Average has crossed below the 50 Day Moving Average. Such crossover is considered a bearish signal. The moving average crossover signals work better when the stock develops a strong trend, but they are ineffective when the stock is in a trading range. Moving average crossover systems can be effective, but should be used in conjunction with trend patterns, momentum indicators, candlesticks and other aspects of technical analysis. Use the following links to access Moving Average Crossover trading technique, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the Moving Average close to the price level.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 37.81
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 62.20
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 23.48
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 33.04
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) -2.39
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 28.15
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 80.90
Oversold
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 41.47
Bullish
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 32.83
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) -7.74 Bullish
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Upper Bollinger Band 269.05
Parabolic System 258.60
50 Day Moving Average 254.80
20 Day Moving Average 252.62
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 244.41
Price 243.00
Daily Stochastic Crossing 238.32
Lower Bollinger Band 232.11
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector Materials 5
Industry Industrial Gases 13
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
High 265.52
High Date 12/05/2025
Low 229.11
Low Date 12/10/2025
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 265.79
High Date 11/12/2025
Low 229.11
Low Date 12/10/2025
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 301.11
High Date 08/22/2025
Low 229.11
Low Date 12/10/2025
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 341.10
High Date 02/04/2025
Low 229.11
Low Date 12/10/2025
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Broadening Ascending Wedge
Status Valid
Resistance 357.49
Support 157.28
Low 23.00
Low Date 03/08/2000
High 341.10
High Date 02/04/2025
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.