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- 7/3/2025 -
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Alaska Air Group Inc (ALK) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Overbought sectorBroken trend resistance line
Daily :Lane's Stochastic is overbought20 Day Moving Average has crossed below the 50 Day Moving AverageBearish Deliberation CandlestickBroken trend resistance line
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It was a second consecutive positive week for the Alaska Air Group Inc (ALK). During the week, the ALK gained 1.68 points, or 3.40%, and closed at 51.05 on Thursday, July 3, 2025. Weekly volume was -13% below average.

ALK is a member of Industrials Sector. Industrials is the most overbought sector. Sector/industry rotation is considered a proven strategy to beat the market. Use the following links to find overbought/oversold technical indicators by Sector or by Industry.

Long-term trend: [See ALK long-term trend chart]
A long-term uptrend had started on November 1, 2023 at 30.75 and reached 78.08 on February 19, 2025. ALK gained -47.33 points, or -153.92%, in 68 weeks. The price is now at the 57.11% retracement level.

Medium-term trend: [See ALK medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term downtrend had started on February 19, 2025 at 78.08 and reached 39.79 on April 24, 2025. ALK lost 38.29 points, or 49.04%, in 9 weeks. The chart has formed a Symmetric Triangle chart pattern. The downtrend resistance line (46.19) is broken. Usually a broken resistance is considered to be a long-term bullish signal, but since daily indicators are overbought a short-term pull back is possible. ALK may retest the broken resistance line. It is considered to be a support line now. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend resistance line in a medium-term trend.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See ALK weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly technical indicators are neutral.

The weekly MACD line is below its signal line since March 7, 2025. This is an indication that the medium-term trend is down. The distance between MACD and the signal line is low and getting smaller. It indicates that the current medium-term downtrend is getting weak. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See ALK short-term trend chart]
A short-term downtrend had started on May 14, 2025 at 55.59 and reached 45.48 on June 23, 2025. ALK lost 10.11 points, or 18.19%, in 40 days. The chart has formed a Falling Wedge chart pattern. The downtrend resistance line (44.15) is broken. Usually a broken resistance is considered to be a long-term bullish signal, but since daily indicators are overbought a short-term pull back is possible. ALK may retest the broken resistance line. It is considered to be a support line now. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend resistance line in a short-term trend.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See ALK daily technical indicators chart]
Daily Lane's Stochastic is overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with overbought daily Lane's Stochastic. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following link to access Lane's Stochastic help.

The daily MACD line is above its signal line since June 26, 2025. The distance between MACD and the signal line is low, but getting bigger.

During the last week, the 20 Day Moving Average has crossed below the 50 Day Moving Average. Such crossover is considered a bearish signal. The moving average crossover signals work better when the stock develops a strong trend, but they are ineffective when the stock is in a trading range. Moving average crossover systems can be effective, but should be used in conjunction with trend patterns, momentum indicators, candlesticks and other aspects of technical analysis. Use the following links to access Moving Average Crossover trading technique, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the Moving Average close to the price level.

Candlestick pattern: [See ALK candlestick chart pattern]
On Friday the chart has formed a Bearish Deliberation Candlestick pattern. This pattern occurs in an uptrend;it appears after a sustained upward move and suggests that the rally is losing strength and a reversal is possible. The reliability of the Bearish Deliberation pattern is medium. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks that had a Bearish Deliberation Candlestick pattern during the last week.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 56.00
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 27.10
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 88.02
Overbought
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 72.30
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) -0.33
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 50.97
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 70.80
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 62.31
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 48.74
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) -1.00
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Upper Bollinger Band 52.95
Daily Stochastic Crossing 51.84
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 51.54
Price 51.05
50 Day Moving Average 49.58
20 Day Moving Average 49.40
Weekly Trendline Resistance 47.19
Parabolic System 47.14
Lower Bollinger Band 46.36
Monthly Trendline Support 46.19
Weekly Trendline Support 44.15
Monthly Trendline Resistance 43.72
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector Industrials 9
Industry Airlines 46
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Low 45.48
Low Date 06/23/2025
High 52.25
High Date 07/03/2025
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern Falling Wedge
Status Broken Resistance
Resistance 47.19
Support 44.15
High 55.59
High Date 05/14/2025
Low 45.48
Low Date 06/23/2025
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern Symmetric Triangle
Status Broken Resistance
Resistance 43.72
Support 46.19
High 78.08
High Date 02/19/2025
Low 39.79
Low Date 04/24/2025
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 30.75
Low Date 11/01/2023
High 78.08
High Date 02/19/2025
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 20.02
Low Date 03/18/2020
High 78.08
High Date 02/19/2025
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.