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Uptrend Exhaustion

Uptrend Exhaustion stock alert presents a technical analysis stock market picking technique based on combination of technical indicators, stock trend analysis, trend following indicators and pattern recognition. Stock market alert is a warning signal. Uptrend Exhaustion alert indicates that long term uptrend is exhausted and probability of long term trend reversal is high. Uptrend exhaustion stock market alert presents relatively low to medium risk - high reword stock pick for overvalued stocks.

The strategy is based on selling (or taking a short) position on anticipation of uptrend reversal.

Uptrend Exhaustion

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- 11/14/2025 -
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AES Corp. (AES) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Overbought sector
Daily :The price has fallen below the Parabolic SARWilliams' Percentage Range is oversoldPrice has crossed below the 50 Day Moving AverageTrend resistance at 13.90The price has declined below the moving average in the center of the Bollinger BandsThe period of low volatility of the stock price
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It was the negative week for the AES Corp. (AES). During the week, the AES dropped -0.31 points, or -2.19%, and closed at 13.82 on Friday, November 14, 2025. Weekly volume was -43% below average.

AES is a member of Utilities Sector. Utilities is the most overbought sector. Sector/industry rotation is considered a proven strategy to beat the market. Use the following links to find overbought/oversold technical indicators by Sector or by Industry.

Long-term trend: [See AES long-term trend chart]
A long-term downtrend had started on December 13, 2022 at 29.89 and reached 9.46 on May 22, 2025. AES lost 20.43 points, or 68.35%, in 127 weeks. The chart has formed a Falling Wedge chart pattern. The trend support level is at 8.87 and resistance is at 14.55. A Falling Wedge is a triangle formation with a noticeable slant to the downside. It represents the loss of a downside momentum on each successive low and has a bullish bias. The Falling wedge usually marks a reversal in a downtrend. In an uptrend a falling wedge is considered to be a continuation pattern. Use the following link to access a Falling Wedge chart pattern help, or use a Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with Falling Wedge pattern in a long-term trend.

Medium-term trend: [See AES medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term uptrend had started on May 22, 2025 at 9.46 and reached 15.51 on October 1, 2025. AES gained -6.05 points, or -63.95%, in 18 weeks. The price is now at the 27.93% retracement level.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See AES weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly technical indicators are neutral.

The weekly MACD line is above its signal line since March 7, 2025. This is an indication that the medium-term trend is up. The distance between MACD and the signal line is low and getting smaller. It indicates that the current medium-term uptrend is getting weak. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See AES short-term trend chart]
A short-term downtrend had started on October 1, 2025 at 15.51 and reached 13.21 on November 4, 2025. AES lost 2.30 points, or 14.83%, in 34 days. The chart has formed a Falling Channel chart pattern. The price is near the trend resistance line (13.90). The resistance is usually stronger when technical indicators are overbought. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with price testing the trend resistance line in a short-term trend.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See AES daily technical indicators chart]
Daily Williams' Percentage Range is oversold. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with daily oversold Williams' Percentage Range. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following link to access Williams' Percentage Range help.

The daily MACD line is below its signal line since October 17, 2025. This is an indication that the short-term trend is down. The distance between MACD and the signal line is low and getting smaller. It indicates that the current short-term downtrend is getting weak.

During the last week, the price has fallen below the Parabolic SAR (stop and reversal). A Parabolic SAR above the price is a bearish signal, and it indicates that momentum is likely to remain in the downward direction. A Parabolic SAR is used as a trailing stop loss for long or short positions. It works best during strong trending periods. Use the following links to access Parabolic SAR Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the Parabolic SAR close to the price level.

During the last week, the price has declined below the moving average in the center of the Bollinger Bands. The distance between the Bollinger Bands is falling, and it was 8.68% on Friday. It is 57.03% lower than one year average. It indicates the period of low volatility of the stock price. The Bollinger Bands are often used with a non-oscillator indicator like chart patterns or a trendline. The signals are considered more reliable if these indicators confirm the recommendation of the Bollinger Bands. Use the following links to access the Bollinger Bands Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the price above the Upper Bollinger Band or below the Lower Bollinger Band.

During the last week, the price has crossed below the 50 Day Moving Average. While the medium-term trend is up and daily technical indicators are oversold, the 50 Day Moving Average is considered a support level. The moving average crossover signals work better when the stock develops a strong trend, but they are ineffective when the stock is in a trading range. Moving average crossover systems can be effective, but should be used in conjunction with trend patterns, momentum indicators, candlesticks and other aspects of technical analysis. Use the following links to access Moving Average Crossover trading technique, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the Moving Average close to the price level.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 38.08
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 82.90
Oversold
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 57.41
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 37.54
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 0.03
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 56.89
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 37.00
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 59.55
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 58.54
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 0.42
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Upper Bollinger Band 14.66
Parabolic System 14.61
Yearly Trendline Resistance 14.55
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 14.38
20 Day Moving Average 14.13
Daily Stochastic Crossing 14.03
Weekly Trendline Resistance 13.90
50 Day Moving Average 13.84
Price 13.82
Lower Bollinger Band 13.47
Weekly Trendline Support 12.78
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector Utilities 12
Industry Electric Utilities 92
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Low 13.21
Low Date 11/04/2025
High 14.60
High Date 11/06/2025
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern Falling Channel
Status Test Resistance
Resistance 13.90
Support 12.78
High 15.51
High Date 10/01/2025
Low 13.21
Low Date 11/04/2025
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 12.33
Low Date 09/17/2025
High 15.51
High Date 10/01/2025
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 9.46
Low Date 05/22/2025
High 15.51
High Date 10/01/2025
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern Falling Wedge
Status Valid
Resistance 14.55
Support 8.87
High 29.89
High Date 12/13/2022
Low 9.46
Low Date 05/22/2025
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.