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Uptrend Exhaustion

Uptrend Exhaustion stock alert presents a technical analysis stock market picking technique based on combination of technical indicators, stock trend analysis, trend following indicators and pattern recognition. Stock market alert is a warning signal. Uptrend Exhaustion alert indicates that long term uptrend is exhausted and probability of long term trend reversal is high. Uptrend exhaustion stock market alert presents relatively low to medium risk - high reword stock pick for overvalued stocks.

The strategy is based on selling (or taking a short) position on anticipation of uptrend reversal.

Uptrend Exhaustion

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- 1/30/2026 -
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AES Corp. (AES) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Broken trend support lineWeekly  MACD line has moved above its signal lineBroken trend resistance line
Daily :Lane's Stochastic is overboughtDaily  MACD line has moved above its signal linePrice is near the Fibonacci 38.2% retracement level
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It was a second consecutive positive week for the AES Corp. (AES). During the week, the AES gained 0.40 points, or 2.81%, and closed at 14.65 on Friday, January 30, 2026. Weekly volume was -24% below average.

Long-term trend: [See AES long-term trend chart]
A long-term downtrend had started on December 13, 2022 at 29.89 and reached 9.46 on May 22, 2025. AES lost 20.43 points, or 68.35%, in 127 weeks. The chart has formed a Falling Wedge chart pattern. The downtrend resistance line (8.62) is broken. Usually a broken resistance is considered to be a long-term bullish signal, but since daily indicators are overbought a short-term pull back is possible. AES may retest the broken resistance line. It is considered to be a support line now. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend resistance line in a long-term trend.

Medium-term trend: [See AES medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term uptrend had started on May 22, 2025 at 9.46 and reached 15.51 on October 1, 2025. AES gained -6.05 points, or -63.95%, in 18 weeks. The chart has formed a Rising Channel chart pattern. The uptrend support line (15.04) is broken. A broken support is considered to be a long-term bearish signal. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend support in a medium-term trend.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See AES weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly technical indicators are neutral.

During the last week, weekly MACD line has moved above its signal line. Such crossover is considered a bullish signal. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See AES short-term trend chart]
A short-term uptrend had started on January 20, 2026 at 13.63 and reached 15.35 on January 29, 2026. AES gained -1.72 points, or -12.62%, in 9 days. Price is near the Fibonacci 38.2% retracement level. The Fibonacci retracement level is considered a support/resistance level.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See AES daily technical indicators chart]
Daily Lane's Stochastic is overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with overbought daily Lane's Stochastic. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following link to access Lane's Stochastic help.

During the last week, daily MACD line has moved above its signal line. Such crossover is considered a bullish signal.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 53.96
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 30.20
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 81.98
Overbought
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 68.57
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 0.14
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 51.10
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 21.40
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 66.85
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 66.58
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 0.40
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Upper Bollinger Band 15.23
Monthly Trendline Resistance 15.22
Daily Stochastic Crossing 15.11
Quarterly Trendline Support 15.04
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 14.69
Price 14.65
Parabolic System 14.48
20 Day Moving Average 14.47
50 Day Moving Average 14.11
Monthly Trendline Support 13.78
Lower Bollinger Band 13.70
Yearly Trendline Resistance 13.48
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector Utilities 3
Industry Electric Utilities 41
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
High 15.35
High Date 01/29/2026
Low 14.49
Low Date 01/30/2026
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 13.63
Low Date 01/20/2026
High 15.35
High Date 01/29/2026
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Rising Channel
Status Valid
Resistance 15.22
Support 13.78
Low 13.21
Low Date 11/04/2025
High 15.35
High Date 01/29/2026
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Rising Channel
Status Broken Support
Resistance 18.09
Support 15.04
Low 9.46
Low Date 05/22/2025
High 15.51
High Date 10/01/2025
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern Falling Wedge
Status Broken Resistance
Resistance 13.48
Support 8.62
High 29.89
High Date 12/13/2022
Low 9.46
Low Date 05/22/2025
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.