The Greedy Trader Weekly Analysis
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Uptrend Exhaustion

Uptrend Exhaustion stock alert presents a technical analysis stock market picking technique based on combination of technical indicators, stock trend analysis, trend following indicators and pattern recognition. Stock market alert is a warning signal. Uptrend Exhaustion alert indicates that long term uptrend is exhausted and probability of long term trend reversal is high. Uptrend exhaustion stock market alert presents relatively low to medium risk - high reword stock pick for overvalued stocks.

The strategy is based on selling (or taking a short) position on anticipation of uptrend reversal.

Uptrend Exhaustion

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- 10/31/2025 -
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Archer-Daniels-Midland (ADM) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Oversold sectorBroken trend resistance line
Daily :Daily  MACD line has moved below its signal lineThe price has fallen below the Parabolic SARLane's Stochastic is oversoldPrice has crossed below the 50 Day Moving AverageThe price has declined below the moving average in the center of the Bollinger Bands
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It was the negative week for the Archer-Daniels-Midland (ADM). During the week, the ADM dropped -2.80 points, or -4.42%, and closed at 60.53 on Friday, October 31, 2025. Weekly volume was -18% below average.

ADM is a member of Consumer Staples Sector. Consumer Staples is the most oversold sector. Sector/industry rotation is considered a proven strategy to beat the market. Use the following links to find overbought/oversold technical indicators by Sector or by Industry.

Long-term trend: [See ADM long-term trend chart]
A long-term downtrend had started on April 21, 2022 at 98.88 and reached 40.98 on April 9, 2025. ADM lost 57.90 points, or 58.56%, in 154 weeks. The chart has formed a Falling Wedge chart pattern. The downtrend resistance line (33.80) is broken. A broken support is considered to be a long-term bullish signal. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend resistance line in a long-term trend.

Medium-term trend: [See ADM medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term uptrend had started on April 9, 2025 at 40.98 and reached 65.00 on October 27, 2025. ADM gained -24.02 points, or -58.61%, in 28 weeks. The price is now at the 18.61% retracement level.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See ADM weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly technical indicators are neutral.

The weekly MACD line is above its signal line since April 11, 2025. This is an indication that the medium-term trend is up. The distance between MACD and the signal line is low and getting smaller. It indicates that the current medium-term uptrend is getting weak. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See ADM short-term trend chart]
A short-term downtrend had started on October 27, 2025 at 65.00 and reached 59.60 on October 31, 2025. ADM lost 5.40 points, or 8.31%, in 4 days. The price is now at the 17.22% retracement level.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See ADM daily technical indicators chart]
Daily Lane's Stochastic is oversold. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with daily oversold Lane's Stochastic. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following link to access Lane's Stochastic help.

During the last week, daily MACD line has moved below its signal line. Such crossover is considered a bearish signal.

During the last week, the price has fallen below the Parabolic SAR (stop and reversal). A Parabolic SAR above the price is a bearish signal, and it indicates that momentum is likely to remain in the downward direction. A Parabolic SAR is used as a trailing stop loss for long or short positions. It works best during strong trending periods. Use the following links to access Parabolic SAR Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the Parabolic SAR close to the price level.

During the last week, the price has declined below the moving average in the center of the Bollinger Bands. The Bollinger Bands are often used with a non-oscillator indicator like chart patterns or a trendline. The signals are considered more reliable if these indicators confirm the recommendation of the Bollinger Bands. Use the following links to access the Bollinger Bands Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the price above the Upper Bollinger Band or below the Lower Bollinger Band.

During the last week, the price has crossed below the 50 Day Moving Average. While the medium-term trend is up and daily technical indicators are oversold, the 50 Day Moving Average is considered a support level. The moving average crossover signals work better when the stock develops a strong trend, but they are ineffective when the stock is in a trading range. Moving average crossover systems can be effective, but should be used in conjunction with trend patterns, momentum indicators, candlesticks and other aspects of technical analysis. Use the following links to access Moving Average Crossover trading technique, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the Moving Average close to the price level.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 43.84
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 70.50
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 11.28
Oversold
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 28.20
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 0.25
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 63.23
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 27.60
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 62.48
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 62.75
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 2.63
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Parabolic System 65.07
Upper Bollinger Band 63.48
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 62.47
20 Day Moving Average 62.03
50 Day Moving Average 61.71
Price 60.53
Daily Stochastic Crossing 60.06
Lower Bollinger Band 59.74
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector Consumer Staples 1
Industry Agricultural Products 98
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
High 65.00
High Date 10/27/2025
Low 59.60
Low Date 10/31/2025
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 65.00
High Date 10/27/2025
Low 59.60
Low Date 10/31/2025
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 65.00
High Date 10/27/2025
Low 59.60
Low Date 10/31/2025
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 40.98
Low Date 04/09/2025
High 65.00
High Date 10/27/2025
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern Falling Wedge
Status Broken Resistance
Resistance 42.05
Support 33.80
High 98.88
High Date 04/21/2022
Low 40.98
Low Date 04/09/2025
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.