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Uptrend Exhaustion

Uptrend Exhaustion stock alert presents a technical analysis stock market picking technique based on combination of technical indicators, stock trend analysis, trend following indicators and pattern recognition. Stock market alert is a warning signal. Uptrend Exhaustion alert indicates that long term uptrend is exhausted and probability of long term trend reversal is high. Uptrend exhaustion stock market alert presents relatively low to medium risk - high reword stock pick for overvalued stocks.

The strategy is based on selling (or taking a short) position on anticipation of uptrend reversal.

Uptrend Exhaustion

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- 10/17/2025 -
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Archer-Daniels-Midland (ADM) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Williams' Percentage Range is overboughtRelative Strength Index, Lane's Stochastic and MACD bearish divergenceOversold sectorBroken trend resistance line
Daily :Bullish Piercing Line CandlestickThe price moved above the moving average in the center of the Bollinger Bands
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It was a first positive week for the Archer-Daniels-Midland (ADM). During the week, the ADM gained 2.49 points, or 4.09%, and closed at 63.33 on Friday, October 17, 2025. It was the best weekly gain since August 22, 2025. Weekly volume was 19% above average.

ADM is a member of Consumer Staples Sector. Consumer Staples is the second most oversold sector. Sector/industry rotation is considered a proven strategy to beat the market. Use the following links to find overbought/oversold technical indicators by Sector or by Industry.

Long-term trend: [See ADM long-term trend chart]
A long-term downtrend had started on April 21, 2022 at 98.88 and reached 40.98 on April 9, 2025. ADM lost 57.90 points, or 58.56%, in 154 weeks. The chart has formed a Falling Wedge chart pattern. The downtrend resistance line (34.23) is broken. A broken support is considered to be a long-term bullish signal. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend resistance line in a long-term trend.

Medium-term trend: [See ADM medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term uptrend had started on April 9, 2025 at 40.98 and reached 64.57 on October 15, 2025. ADM gained -23.59 points, or -57.56%, in 27 weeks. The chart has formed a Broadening Ascending Wedge chart pattern. The trend support level is at 59.93 and resistance is at 71.34. A Broadening Ascending Wedge pattern is considered to be a reversal formation. It usually appears in a mature trend, characterized by overbought/oversold long-term and short-term indicators, and often generates divergence on long-term indicators. Use the following link to access a Broadening Ascending Wedge chart pattern help, or use a Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with Broadening Ascending Wedge pattern in a medium-term trend.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See ADM weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly Williams' Percentage Range is overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with overbought weekly Williams' Percentage Range. Weekly Relative Strength Index, Lane's Stochastic and MACD have bearish divergence. Use the following links to access the Relative Strength Index, Lane's Stochastic and MACD help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with weekly Relative Strength Index, Lane's Stochastic and MACD bearish divergence. The divergence between price and indicator is considering one of the most important buy/sell stocks trading signal. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following links to access Lane's Stochastic, Relative Strength Index and Williams' Percentage Range help.

The weekly MACD line is above its signal line since April 11, 2025. This is an indication that the medium-term trend is up. The distance between MACD and the signal line is low and getting smaller. It indicates that the current medium-term uptrend is getting weak. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See ADM short-term trend chart]
A short-term uptrend had started on October 14, 2025 at 58.42 and reached 64.57 on October 15, 2025. ADM gained -6.15 points, or -10.53%, in 1 days. The price is now at the 20.16% retracement level.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See ADM daily technical indicators chart]
Daily technical indicators are neutral.

The daily MACD line is above its signal line since October 6, 2025. This is an indication that the short-term trend is up. The distance between MACD and the signal line is low, but getting bigger. It indicates that the current short-term uptrend is getting stronger.

During the last week, the price has moved above the moving average in the center of the Bollinger Bands. The Bollinger Bands are often used with a non-oscillator indicator like chart patterns or a trendline. The signals are considered more reliable if these indicators confirm the recommendation of the Bollinger Bands. Use the following links to access the Bollinger Bands Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the price above the Upper Bollinger Band or below the Lower Bollinger Band.

Candlestick pattern: [See ADM candlestick chart pattern]
On Friday the chart has formed a Bullish Piercing Line Candlestick pattern. This pattern suggests bulls have begun to take charge of the market, and shorts have been shaken by the sudden lost of bearish momentum. The reliability of the Bullish Piercing Line pattern is moderate. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks that had a Bullish Piercing Line Candlestick pattern during the last week.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 64.41
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 34.70
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 72.89
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 67.54
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 0.36
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 72.94
Bearish
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 12.50
Overbought
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 69.02
Bearish
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 71.90
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 2.49 Bearish
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Quarterly Trendline Resistance 71.34
Upper Bollinger Band 64.22
Price 63.33
Daily Stochastic Crossing 63.03
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 62.50
20 Day Moving Average 61.30
50 Day Moving Average 61.26
Quarterly Trendline Support 59.93
Lower Bollinger Band 59.17
Parabolic System 58.61
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector Consumer Staples 2
Industry Agricultural Products 108
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Low 58.42
Low Date 10/14/2025
High 64.57
High Date 10/15/2025
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 58.42
Low Date 10/14/2025
High 64.57
High Date 10/15/2025
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 58.17
Low Date 10/01/2025
High 64.57
High Date 10/15/2025
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Broadening Ascending Wedge
Status Valid
Resistance 71.34
Support 59.93
Low 40.98
Low Date 04/09/2025
High 64.57
High Date 10/15/2025
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern Falling Wedge
Status Broken Resistance
Resistance 42.81
Support 34.23
High 98.88
High Date 04/21/2022
Low 40.98
Low Date 04/09/2025
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.