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Uptrend Exhaustion

Uptrend Exhaustion stock alert presents a technical analysis stock market picking technique based on combination of technical indicators, stock trend analysis, trend following indicators and pattern recognition. Stock market alert is a warning signal. Uptrend Exhaustion alert indicates that long term uptrend is exhausted and probability of long term trend reversal is high. Uptrend exhaustion stock market alert presents relatively low to medium risk - high reword stock pick for overvalued stocks.

The strategy is based on selling (or taking a short) position on anticipation of uptrend reversal.

Uptrend Exhaustion

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- 11/28/2025 -
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FedEx Corporation (FDX) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Overbought sectorLane's Stochastic is overboughtWilliams' Percentage Range is strongly overbought
Daily :Broken uptrend resistance line - uptrend exhaustionLane's Stochastic is overboughtWilliams' Percentage Range is strongly overboughtMACD bearish divergenceDaily  MACD line has moved above its signal lineThe price has risen above the Parabolic SAR
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It was a seventh consecutive positive week for the FedEx Corporation (FDX). During the week, the FDX gained 6.25 points, or 2.32%, and closed at 275.68 on Friday, November 28, 2025. Weekly volume was -39% below average.

FDX is a member of Industrials Sector. Industrials is the second most overbought sector. Sector/industry rotation is considered a proven strategy to beat the market. Use the following links to find overbought/oversold technical indicators by Sector or by Industry.

Long-term trend: [See FDX long-term trend chart]
A long-term uptrend had started on March 17, 2020 at 88.69 and reached 319.90 on May 27, 2021. FDX gained -231.21 points, or -260.69%, in 62 weeks. The chart has formed a Ascending Triangle chart pattern. The trend support level is at 208.33 and resistance is at 311.18. An Ascending Triangle is a variation of triangle formation that has a flat resistance line and rising support line. The higher lows indicate an increasing demand and give the ascending triangle definitive bullish bias. An Ascending Triangle usually represents an accumulation stage in bullish market. An Ascending Triangle is considered to be a continuation pattern, especially in an uptrend, but it may also mark a reversal in a downtrend. Use the following link to access a Ascending Triangle chart pattern help, or use a Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with Ascending Triangle pattern in a long-term trend.

Medium-term trend: [See FDX medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term downtrend had started on July 16, 2024 at 313.84 and reached 194.30 on April 9, 2025. FDX lost 119.54 points, or 38.09%, in 38 weeks. The chart has formed a Broadening Descending Wedge chart pattern. The trend support level is at 124.72 and resistance is at 294.03. A Broadening Descending Wedge pattern is considered to be a reversal formation. It usually appears in a mature trend, characterized by overbought/oversold long-term and short-term indicators, and often generates divergence on long-term indicators. Use the following link to access a Broadening Descending Wedge chart pattern help, or use a Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with Broadening Descending Wedge pattern in a medium-term trend.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See FDX weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly Lane's Stochastic is overbought while Williams' Percentage Range is strongly overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with overbought weekly Lane's Stochastic or strongly overbought weekly Williams' Percentage Range. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following links to access Lane's Stochastic and Williams' Percentage Range help.

The weekly MACD line is above its signal line since June 6, 2025. The distance between MACD and the signal line is relatively high and getting bigger. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See FDX short-term trend chart]
A short-term uptrend had started on August 4, 2025 at 216.10 and reached 276.87 on November 28, 2025. FDX gained -60.77 points, or -28.12%, in 116 days. The chart has formed a Broadening Ascending Wedge chart pattern. The uptrend resistance line (230.99) is broken, while daily and weekly technical indicators are overbought. Uptrend is exhausted and trend reversal is possible soon. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend resistance line in a short-term trend.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See FDX daily technical indicators chart]
Daily Lane's Stochastic is overbought while Williams' Percentage Range is strongly overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with overbought daily Lane's Stochastic or strongly overbought daily Williams' Percentage Range. Daily MACD has bearish divergence. Use the following links to access the MACD help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with daily MACD bearish divergence. The divergence between price and indicator is considering one of the most important buy/sell stocks trading signal.

During the last week, daily MACD line has moved above its signal line. Such crossover is considered a bullish signal.

During the last week, the price has risen above the Parabolic SAR (stop and reversal). A Parabolic SAR below the price is a bullish signal, and it indicates that momentum is likely to remain in the upward direction. A Parabolic SAR is used as a trailing stop loss for long or short positions. It works best during strong trending periods. Use the following links to access Parabolic SAR Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the Parabolic SAR close to the price level.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 64.21
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 5.50
Strong Overbought
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 85.19
Overbought
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 81.28
Overbought
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 6.82 Bearish
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 70.04
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 2.70
Strong Overbought
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 89.09
Overbought
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 83.79
Overbought
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 1.38
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Yearly Trendline Resistance 311.18
Quarterly Trendline Resistance 294.03
Upper Bollinger Band 277.57
Price 275.68
Daily Stochastic Crossing 274.31
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 271.91
Parabolic System 266.70
Weekly Trendline Resistance 265.29
20 Day Moving Average 263.81
50 Day Moving Average 248.82
Lower Bollinger Band 248.70
Weekly Trendline Support 230.99
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector Industrials 8
Industry Air Freight & Logistics 113
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Rising Channel
Low 224.61
Low Date 10/10/2025
High 276.87
High Date 11/28/2025
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Broadening Ascending Wedge
Status Broken Resistance
Resistance 265.29
Support 230.99
Low 216.10
Low Date 08/04/2025
High 276.87
High Date 11/28/2025
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 194.30
Low Date 04/09/2025
High 276.87
High Date 11/28/2025
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern Broadening Descending Wedge
Status Valid
Resistance 294.03
Support 124.72
High 313.84
High Date 07/16/2024
Low 194.30
Low Date 04/09/2025
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Ascending Triangle
Status Valid
Resistance 311.18
Support 208.33
Low 88.69
Low Date 03/17/2020
High 319.90
High Date 05/27/2021
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.