The Greedy Trader Weekly Analysis
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Downtrend Resistance
Downtrend Resistance stock alert presents a technical analysis stock market picking technique based on combination of technical indicators, stock trend analysis, trend following indicators and pattern recognition. Stock market alert is a warning signal. Downtrend Resistance stock alert indicates that price is near long-term resistance trendline and probability of short-term trend reversal is high.

The strategy is based on selling long (or taking short) position on downtrend testing resistance. The strategy has low to medium risk and average reword.

Downtrend Resistance

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- 4/5/2024 -
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SPDR Retail (XRT) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Lane's Stochastic is overboughtStochastic has declined below the signal lineLane's Stochastic and MACD bearish divergenceBroken trend resistance lineBroken trend resistance line
Daily :Daily  MACD line has moved below its signal lineThe price has fallen below the Parabolic SARWilliams' Percentage Range is oversoldPrice is close to the 50 Day Moving AverageThe price has declined below the moving average in the center of the Bollinger Bands
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It was the negative week for the SPDR Retail (XRT). During the week, the XRT dropped -4.32 points, or -5.47%, and closed at 74.67 on Friday, April 5, 2024. Weekly volume was -6% below average.

Long-term trend: [See XRT long-term trend chart]
A long-term downtrend had started on November 16, 2021 at 104.26 and reached 55.33 on September 30, 2022. XRT lost 48.93 points, or 46.93%, in 45 weeks. The chart has formed a Descending Triangle chart pattern. The downtrend resistance line (57.30) is broken. A broken support is considered to be a long-term bullish signal. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend resistance line in a long-term trend.

Medium-term trend: [See XRT medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term uptrend had started on September 30, 2022 at 55.33 and reached 79.12 on April 1, 2024. XRT gained -23.79 points, or -43.00%, in 78 weeks. The chart has formed a Symmetric Triangle chart pattern. The uptrend resistance line (58.25) is broken. Usually a broken resistance is considered to be a long-term bullish signal, although a short-term pull back is possible. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend resistance line in a medium-term trend.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See XRT weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly Lane's Stochastic is overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with overbought weekly Lane's Stochastic. During the last week, weekly Lane's Stochastic main line (%K) has declined below the overbought signal line (%D). Such crossover is considered a bearish signal. Weekly Lane's Stochastic and MACD have bearish divergence. Use the following links to access the Lane's Stochastic and MACD help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with weekly Lane's Stochastic and MACD bearish divergence. The divergence between price and indicator is considering one of the most important buy/sell stocks trading signal. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following link to access Lane's Stochastic help.

The weekly MACD line is above its signal line since November 17, 2023. This is an indication that the medium-term trend is up. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See XRT short-term trend chart]
A short-term uptrend had started on January 19, 2024 at 67.57 and reached 79.12 on April 1, 2024. XRT gained -11.55 points, or -17.09%, in 73 days. The chart has formed a Rising Wedge chart pattern.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See XRT daily technical indicators chart]
Daily Williams' Percentage Range is strongly oversold. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with daily strongly oversold Williams' Percentage Range. Use the following link to access Williams' Percentage Range help.

During the last week, daily MACD line has moved below its signal line. Such crossover is considered a bearish signal.

During the last week, the price has fallen below the Parabolic SAR (stop and reversal). A Parabolic SAR above the price is a bearish signal, and it indicates that momentum is likely to remain in the downward direction. A Parabolic SAR is used as a trailing stop loss for long or short positions. It works best during strong trending periods. Use the following links to access Parabolic SAR Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the Parabolic SAR close to the price level.

During the last week, the price has declined below the moving average in the center of the Bollinger Bands. The Bollinger Bands are often used with a non-oscillator indicator like chart patterns or a trendline. The signals are considered more reliable if these indicators confirm the recommendation of the Bollinger Bands. Use the following links to access the Bollinger Bands Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the price above the Upper Bollinger Band or below the Lower Bollinger Band.

Price is close to the 50 Day Moving Average. While daily technical indicators are oversold, the 50 Day Moving Average is considered a support level. The moving average crossover signals work better when the stock develops a strong trend, but they are ineffective when the stock is in a trading range. Moving average crossover systems can be effective, but should be used in conjunction with trend patterns, momentum indicators, candlesticks and other aspects of technical analysis. Use the following links to access Moving Average Crossover trading technique, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the Moving Average close to the price level.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 46.00
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 96.70
Strong Oversold
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 22.57
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 23.96
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 0.79
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 55.59
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 23.10
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 82.89
Overbought Bearish
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 71.73
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 2.82 Bearish
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Upper Bollinger Band 78.68
Parabolic System 78.49
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 77.51
20 Day Moving Average 76.36
Price 74.67
Daily Stochastic Crossing 74.62
50 Day Moving Average 74.37
Lower Bollinger Band 73.51
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector
Industry
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Rising Wedge
Low 67.57
Low Date 01/19/2024
High 79.12
High Date 04/01/2024
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 57.48
Low Date 10/06/2023
High 79.12
High Date 04/01/2024
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 56.20
Low Date 06/01/2023
High 79.12
High Date 04/01/2024
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Symmetric Triangle
Status Broken Resistance
Resistance 56.68
Support 58.25
Low 55.33
Low Date 09/30/2022
High 79.12
High Date 04/01/2024
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern Descending Triangle
Status Broken Resistance
Resistance 48.22
Support 57.30
High 104.26
High Date 11/16/2021
Low 55.33
Low Date 09/30/2022
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.