The Greedy Trader Weekly Analysis
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Downtrend Resistance
Downtrend Resistance stock alert presents a technical analysis stock market picking technique based on combination of technical indicators, stock trend analysis, trend following indicators and pattern recognition. Stock market alert is a warning signal. Downtrend Resistance stock alert indicates that price is near long-term resistance trendline and probability of short-term trend reversal is high.

The strategy is based on selling long (or taking short) position on downtrend testing resistance. The strategy has low to medium risk and average reword.

Downtrend Resistance

Archive
- 5/3/2024 -
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CurrencyShares Canadian Dollar Trust (FXC) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Broken trend resistance line
Daily :Stochastic signal line moved below overbought areaA Parabolic SAR indicator is above and near the pricePrice is near the Fibonacci 23.6% retracement levelThe price has declined below the moving average in the center of the Bollinger BandsPrice is close to the 50 Day Moving Average
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It was the negative week for the CurrencyShares Canadian Dollar Trust (FXC). During the week, the FXC gave back -0.17 points, or -0.24%, and closed at 71.46 on Friday, May 3, 2024. FXC was trading at average weekly trading volume.

Long-term trend: [See FXC long-term trend chart]
A long-term downtrend had started on June 1, 2021 at 81.77 and reached 70.03 on October 13, 2022. FXC lost 11.74 points, or 14.36%, in 71 weeks. The chart has formed a Descending Triangle chart pattern. The trend support level is at 70.50 and resistance is at 71.91. A Descending Triangle is a variation of triangle formation that has a flat support line and falling resistance line. The lower highs indicate the decreasing demand and give the descending triangle definitive bearish bias. A Descending Triangle usually represents a distribution stage in bearish market. A Descending Triangle is considered to be a continuation pattern, especially in a down trend, but it may also mark a reversal in an uptrend. Use the following link to access a Descending Triangle chart pattern help, or use a Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with Descending Triangle pattern in a long-term trend.

Medium-term trend: [See FXC medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term downtrend had started on December 27, 2023 at 74.28 and reached 70.66 on April 16, 2024. FXC lost 3.62 points, or 4.87%, in 15 weeks. The chart has formed a Falling Channel chart pattern. The downtrend resistance line (70.21) is broken. A broken support is considered to be a long-term bullish signal. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend resistance line in a medium-term trend.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See FXC weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly technical indicators are neutral.

The weekly MACD line is below its signal line since February 23, 2024. This is an indication that the medium-term trend is down. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See FXC short-term trend chart]
A short-term uptrend had started on April 16, 2024 at 70.66 and reached 71.73 on April 29, 2024. FXC gained -1.07 points, or -1.51%, in 13 days. Price is near the Fibonacci 23.6% retracement level. The Fibonacci retracement level is considered a support/resistance level.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See FXC daily technical indicators chart]
Daily technical indicators are neutral. During the last week, daily Lane's Stochastic signal line (%D) has moved below overbought area. Such crossover is considered a bearish signal. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following link to access Lane's Stochastic help.

The daily MACD line is above its signal line since April 22, 2024. This is an indication that the short-term trend is up. The distance between MACD and the signal line is low and getting smaller. It indicates that the current short-term uptrend is getting weak.

A Parabolic SAR (stop and reversal) indicator (71.07) comes close to the price (71.46). It indicates that the trend is getting weaker. A Parabolic SAR is used as a trailing stop loss for long or short positions. It works best during strong trending periods. Use the following links to access Parabolic SAR Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the Parabolic SAR close to the price level.

During the last week, the price has declined below the moving average in the center of the Bollinger Bands. The Bollinger Bands are often used with a non-oscillator indicator like chart patterns or a trendline. The signals are considered more reliable if these indicators confirm the recommendation of the Bollinger Bands. Use the following links to access the Bollinger Bands Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the price above the Upper Bollinger Band or below the Lower Bollinger Band.

Price is close to the 50 Day Moving Average. The moving average crossover signals work better when the stock develops a strong trend, but they are ineffective when the stock is in a trading range. Moving average crossover systems can be effective, but should be used in conjunction with trend patterns, momentum indicators, candlesticks and other aspects of technical analysis. Use the following links to access Moving Average Crossover trading technique, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the Moving Average close to the price level.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 60.08
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 34.20
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 50.04
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 58.62
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) -0.19
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 33.88
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 73.50
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 26.65
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 32.57
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) -0.11
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Upper Bollinger Band 72.19
50 Day Moving Average 71.91
Yearly Trendline Resistance 71.91
Price 71.46
20 Day Moving Average 71.40
Daily Stochastic Crossing 71.28
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 71.23
Parabolic System 71.07
Monthly Trendline Resistance 71.03
Lower Bollinger Band 70.84
Yearly Trendline Support 70.50
Monthly Trendline Support 70.21
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector
Industry
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
High 71.73
High Date 04/29/2024
Low 70.99
Low Date 05/01/2024
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 70.66
Low Date 04/16/2024
High 71.73
High Date 04/29/2024
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern Falling Channel
Status Broken Resistance
Resistance 71.03
Support 70.21
High 74.28
High Date 12/27/2023
Low 70.66
Low Date 04/16/2024
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 70.35
Low Date 11/01/2023
High 74.28
High Date 12/27/2023
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern Descending Triangle
Status Valid
Resistance 71.91
Support 70.50
High 81.77
High Date 06/01/2021
Low 70.03
Low Date 10/13/2022
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.