The Greedy Trader Weekly Analysis
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Downtrend Resistance
Downtrend Resistance stock alert presents a technical analysis stock market picking technique based on combination of technical indicators, stock trend analysis, trend following indicators and pattern recognition. Stock market alert is a warning signal. Downtrend Resistance stock alert indicates that price is near long-term resistance trendline and probability of short-term trend reversal is high.

The strategy is based on selling long (or taking short) position on downtrend testing resistance. The strategy has low to medium risk and average reword.

Downtrend Resistance

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- 4/5/2024 -
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Estee Lauder (EL) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Broken trend support linePrice is near the Fibonacci 23.6% retracement level
Daily :The price has fallen below the Parabolic SARPrice has crossed below the 50 Day Moving AverageThe price has declined below the moving average in the center of the Bollinger Bands
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It was the negative week for the Estee Lauder (EL). During the week, the EL dropped -9.72 points, or -6.31%, and closed at 144.43 on Friday, April 5, 2024. It was the worst weekly loss since November 3, 2023. Weekly volume was -12% below average.

Long-term trend: [See EL long-term trend chart]
A long-term downtrend had started on February 2, 2023 at 283.62 and reached 102.22 on November 1, 2023. EL lost 181.40 points, or 63.96%, in 38 weeks. Price is near the Fibonacci 23.6% retracement level. The Fibonacci retracement level is considered a support/resistance level.

Medium-term trend: [See EL medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term uptrend had started on November 1, 2023 at 102.22 and reached 159.75 on February 5, 2024. EL gained -57.53 points, or -56.28%, in 13 weeks. The chart has formed a Rising Wedge chart pattern. The uptrend support line (147.78) is broken. A broken support is considered to be a long-term bearish signal. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend support in a medium-term trend.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See EL weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly technical indicators are neutral.

The weekly MACD line is above its signal line since December 1, 2023. This is an indication that the medium-term trend is up. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See EL short-term trend chart]
A short-term downtrend had started on February 5, 2024 at 159.75 and reached 138.02 on February 8, 2024. EL lost 21.73 points, or 13.60%, in 3 days. The chart has formed a Rectangle chart pattern.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See EL daily technical indicators chart]
Daily technical indicators are neutral.

The daily MACD line is below its signal line since April 3, 2024. This is an indication that the short-term trend is down. The distance between MACD and the signal line is low and getting smaller. It indicates that the current short-term downtrend is getting weak.

During the last week, the price has fallen below the Parabolic SAR (stop and reversal). A Parabolic SAR above the price is a bearish signal, and it indicates that momentum is likely to remain in the downward direction. A Parabolic SAR is used as a trailing stop loss for long or short positions. It works best during strong trending periods. Use the following links to access Parabolic SAR Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the Parabolic SAR close to the price level.

During the last week, the price has declined below the moving average in the center of the Bollinger Bands. The Bollinger Bands are often used with a non-oscillator indicator like chart patterns or a trendline. The signals are considered more reliable if these indicators confirm the recommendation of the Bollinger Bands. Use the following links to access the Bollinger Bands Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the price above the Upper Bollinger Band or below the Lower Bollinger Band.

During the last week, the price has crossed below the 50 Day Moving Average. Such crossover is considered a bearish signal. The moving average crossover signals work better when the stock develops a strong trend, but they are ineffective when the stock is in a trading range. Moving average crossover systems can be effective, but should be used in conjunction with trend patterns, momentum indicators, candlesticks and other aspects of technical analysis. Use the following links to access Moving Average Crossover trading technique, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the Moving Average close to the price level.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 43.03
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 70.80
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 55.96
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 42.71
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 0.59
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 48.77
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 31.70
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 65.54
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 61.81
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) -6.31
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Monthly Trendline Resistance 171.35
Upper Bollinger Band 156.82
Parabolic System 154.73
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 152.12
20 Day Moving Average 148.20
Monthly Trendline Support 147.78
Daily Stochastic Crossing 147.31
50 Day Moving Average 145.14
Price 144.43
Lower Bollinger Band 137.28
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector Consumer Staples 3
Industry Personal Products 55
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern Rectangle
High 159.75
High Date 02/05/2024
Low 138.02
Low Date 02/08/2024
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 124.14
Low Date 01/17/2024
High 159.75
High Date 02/05/2024
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Rising Wedge
Status Broken Support
Resistance 171.35
Support 147.78
Low 102.22
Low Date 11/01/2023
High 159.75
High Date 02/05/2024
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 283.62
High Date 02/02/2023
Low 102.22
Low Date 11/01/2023
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 374.20
High Date 01/03/2022
Low 102.22
Low Date 11/01/2023
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.