The Greedy Trader Weekly Analysis
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Uptrend Exhaustion

Uptrend Exhaustion stock alert presents a technical analysis stock market picking technique based on combination of technical indicators, stock trend analysis, trend following indicators and pattern recognition. Stock market alert is a warning signal. Uptrend Exhaustion alert indicates that long term uptrend is exhausted and probability of long term trend reversal is high. Uptrend exhaustion stock market alert presents relatively low to medium risk - high reword stock pick for overvalued stocks.

The strategy is based on selling (or taking a short) position on anticipation of uptrend reversal.

Uptrend Exhaustion

Archive
- 4/19/2024 -
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Health Care Select Sector SPDR (XLV) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Broken trend support line
Daily :Relative Strength Index oversoldWilliams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are strongly oversoldStochastic has raised above the signal line
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It was a first positive week for the Health Care Select Sector SPDR (XLV). During the week, the XLV climbed 0.04 points, or 0.03%, and closed at 138.95 on Friday, April 19, 2024. XLV was trading at average weekly trading volume.

Long-term trend: [See XLV long-term trend chart]
A long-term uptrend had started on October 27, 2023 at 122.59 and reached 148.27 on February 23, 2024. XLV gained -25.68 points, or -20.95%, in 17 weeks. The chart has formed a Rising Channel chart pattern. The uptrend support line (153.24) is broken. Usually a broken support is considered to be a long-term bearish signal, but since daily indicators are oversold a short-term pull back is possible. XLV may retest the broken support line. It is considered to be a resistance line now. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend support in a long-term trend.

Medium-term trend: [See XLV medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term downtrend had started on February 23, 2024 at 148.27 and reached 138.21 on April 18, 2024. XLV lost 10.06 points, or 6.78%, in 7 weeks. The price is now at the 7.36% retracement level.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See XLV weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly technical indicators are neutral.

The weekly MACD line is below its signal line since April 5, 2024. This is an indication that the medium-term trend is down. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See XLV short-term trend chart]
A short-term downtrend had started on March 28, 2024 at 148.23 and reached 138.21 on April 18, 2024. XLV lost 10.02 points, or 6.76%, in 21 days. The price is now at the 7.39% retracement level.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See XLV daily technical indicators chart]
Daily Relative Strength Index is oversold while Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are strongly oversold. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with oversold daily Relative Strength Index or strongly oversold daily Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic. During the last week, daily Lane's Stochastic main line (%K) has rallied above the oversold signal line (%D). Such crossover is considered a bullish signal. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following links to access Lane's Stochastic, Relative Strength Index and Williams' Percentage Range help.

The daily MACD line is below its signal line since March 28, 2024. This is an indication that the short-term trend is down.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 19.23
Oversold
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 90.60
Strong Oversold
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 6.02
Strong Oversold
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 11.54
Oversold
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) -1.28
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 46.69
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 48.10
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 44.58
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 48.91
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 3.29
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Monthly Trendline Resistance 158.84
Monthly Trendline Support 153.24
Upper Bollinger Band 148.00
50 Day Moving Average 144.44
20 Day Moving Average 142.62
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 141.95
Parabolic System 140.57
Price 138.95
Daily Stochastic Crossing 138.48
Lower Bollinger Band 135.52
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector
Industry
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
High 148.23
High Date 03/28/2024
Low 138.21
Low Date 04/18/2024
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 148.27
High Date 02/23/2024
Low 138.21
Low Date 04/18/2024
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Rising Channel
Status Broken Support
Resistance 158.84
Support 153.24
Low 122.59
Low Date 10/27/2023
High 148.27
High Date 02/23/2024
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 118.75
Low Date 06/16/2022
High 148.27
High Date 02/23/2024
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 21.63
Low Date 03/06/2009
High 148.27
High Date 02/23/2024
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.