The Greedy Trader Weekly Analysis
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Uptrend Exhaustion

Uptrend Exhaustion stock alert presents a technical analysis stock market picking technique based on combination of technical indicators, stock trend analysis, trend following indicators and pattern recognition. Stock market alert is a warning signal. Uptrend Exhaustion alert indicates that long term uptrend is exhausted and probability of long term trend reversal is high. Uptrend exhaustion stock market alert presents relatively low to medium risk - high reword stock pick for overvalued stocks.

The strategy is based on selling (or taking a short) position on anticipation of uptrend reversal.

Uptrend Exhaustion

Archive
- 4/5/2024 -
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Financial Select Sector SPDR (XLF) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Relative Strength Index and Williams' Percentage Range are overboughtLane's Stochastic is strongly overboughtStochastic has declined below the signal lineBroken trend resistance lineBroken trend resistance line
Daily :Broken trend support lineDaily  MACD line has moved below its signal lineThe price has fallen below the Parabolic SARBullish Harami Candlestick
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It was the negative week for the Financial Select Sector SPDR (XLF). During the week, the XLF dropped -0.55 points, or -1.31%, and closed at 41.57 on Friday, April 5, 2024. It was the worst weekly loss since October 27, 2023. XLF was trading at average weekly trading volume.

Long-term trend: [See XLF long-term trend chart]
A long-term downtrend had started on January 13, 2022 at 41.70 and reached 29.59 on October 13, 2022. XLF lost 12.11 points, or 29.04%, in 39 weeks. The chart has formed a Symmetric Triangle chart pattern. The downtrend resistance line (32.26) is broken. A broken support is considered to be a long-term bullish signal. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend resistance line in a long-term trend.

Medium-term trend: [See XLF medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term uptrend had started on October 13, 2022 at 29.59 and reached 42.22 on March 28, 2024. XLF gained -12.63 points, or -42.68%, in 76 weeks. The chart has formed a Symmetric Triangle chart pattern. The uptrend resistance line (32.10) is broken. Usually a broken resistance is considered to be a long-term bullish signal, although a short-term pull back is possible. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend resistance line in a medium-term trend.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See XLF weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly Relative Strength Index and Williams' Percentage Range are overbought while Lane's Stochastic is strongly overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with overbought weekly Relative Strength Index and Williams' Percentage Range or strongly overbought weekly Lane's Stochastic. During the last week, weekly Lane's Stochastic main line (%K) has declined below the overbought signal line (%D). Such crossover is considered a bearish signal. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following links to access Lane's Stochastic, Relative Strength Index and Williams' Percentage Range help.

The weekly MACD line is above its signal line since November 17, 2023. This is an indication that the medium-term trend is up. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See XLF short-term trend chart]
A short-term uptrend had started on October 27, 2023 at 31.35 and reached 42.22 on March 28, 2024. XLF gained -10.87 points, or -34.67%, in 153 days. The chart has formed a Rising Wedge chart pattern. The uptrend support line (42.45) is broken. A broken support is considered to be a long-term bearish signal. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend support in a short-term trend.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See XLF daily technical indicators chart]
Daily technical indicators are neutral.

During the last week, daily MACD line has moved below its signal line. Such crossover is considered a bearish signal.

During the last week, the price has fallen below the Parabolic SAR (stop and reversal). A Parabolic SAR above the price is a bearish signal, and it indicates that momentum is likely to remain in the downward direction. A Parabolic SAR is used as a trailing stop loss for long or short positions. It works best during strong trending periods. Use the following links to access Parabolic SAR Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the Parabolic SAR close to the price level.

Candlestick pattern: [See XLF candlestick chart pattern]
On Friday the chart has formed a Bullish Harami Candlestick pattern. A Bullish Harami indicates that the bearish trend may be reversing, it signals that it's a good time to enter into a long position. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks that had a Bullish Harami Candlestick pattern during the last week.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 59.69
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 48.30
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 43.53
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 51.62
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 0.50
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 86.83
Overbought
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 10.10
Overbought
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 91.60
Strong Overbought
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 82.21
Overbought
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 1.51
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Weekly Trendline Resistance 42.60
Weekly Trendline Support 42.45
Parabolic System 42.24
Upper Bollinger Band 42.12
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 41.88
Price 41.57
Daily Stochastic Crossing 41.52
20 Day Moving Average 41.32
Lower Bollinger Band 40.35
50 Day Moving Average 40.24
Quarterly Trendline Resistance 33.54
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector
Industry
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
High 42.22
High Date 03/28/2024
Low 41.13
Low Date 04/04/2024
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Rising Wedge
Status Broken Support
Resistance 42.60
Support 42.45
Low 31.35
Low Date 10/27/2023
High 42.22
High Date 03/28/2024
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 30.39
Low Date 03/24/2023
High 42.22
High Date 03/28/2024
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Symmetric Triangle
Status Broken Resistance
Resistance 33.54
Support 32.10
Low 29.59
Low Date 10/13/2022
High 42.22
High Date 03/28/2024
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern Symmetric Triangle
Status Broken Resistance
Resistance 32.11
Support 32.26
High 41.70
High Date 01/13/2022
Low 29.59
Low Date 10/13/2022
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.