The Greedy Trader Weekly Analysis
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Uptrend Exhaustion

Uptrend Exhaustion stock alert presents a technical analysis stock market picking technique based on combination of technical indicators, stock trend analysis, trend following indicators and pattern recognition. Stock market alert is a warning signal. Uptrend Exhaustion alert indicates that long term uptrend is exhausted and probability of long term trend reversal is high. Uptrend exhaustion stock market alert presents relatively low to medium risk - high reword stock pick for overvalued stocks.

The strategy is based on selling (or taking a short) position on anticipation of uptrend reversal.

Uptrend Exhaustion

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- 4/5/2024 -
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T. Rowe Price Group (TROW) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Overbought sectorBroken trend support lineWilliams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are overboughtStochastic has declined below the signal line
Daily :Daily  MACD line has moved below its signal lineThe price has fallen below the Parabolic SARBullish Homing Pigeon CandlestickPrice is near the Fibonacci 23.6% retracement levelThe price has declined below the moving average in the center of the Bollinger Bands
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It was the negative week for the T. Rowe Price Group (TROW). During the week, the TROW dropped -5.28 points, or -4.33%, and closed at 116.64 on Friday, April 5, 2024. It was the worst weekly loss since October 27, 2023. Weekly volume was -34% below average.

TROW is a member of Financials Sector. Financials is the most overbought sector. Sector/industry rotation is considered a proven strategy to beat the market. Use the following links to find overbought/oversold technical indicators by Sector or by Industry.

Long-term trend: [See TROW long-term trend chart]
A long-term uptrend had started on October 27, 2023 at 87.44 and reached 122.27 on March 28, 2024. TROW gained -34.83 points, or -39.83%, in 21 weeks. The price is now at the 16.16% retracement level.

Medium-term trend: [See TROW medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term uptrend had started on February 13, 2024 at 103.40 and reached 122.27 on March 28, 2024. TROW gained -18.87 points, or -18.25%, in 6 weeks. The chart has formed a Rising Wedge chart pattern. The uptrend support line (119.43) is broken. A broken support is considered to be a long-term bearish signal. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend support in a medium-term trend.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See TROW weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with overbought weekly Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic. During the last week, weekly Lane's Stochastic main line (%K) has declined below the overbought signal line (%D). Such crossover is considered a bearish signal. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following links to access Lane's Stochastic and Williams' Percentage Range help.

The weekly MACD line is above its signal line since December 8, 2023. This is an indication that the medium-term trend is up. The distance between MACD and the signal line is relatively high, but getting smaller. It indicates that the current medium-term uptrend is still strong, and momentum is beginning to wane. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See TROW short-term trend chart]
A short-term downtrend had started on March 28, 2024 at 122.27 and reached 114.88 on April 5, 2024. TROW lost 7.39 points, or 6.04%, in 8 days. Price is near the Fibonacci 23.6% retracement level. The Fibonacci retracement level is considered a support/resistance level.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See TROW daily technical indicators chart]
Daily technical indicators are neutral.

During the last week, daily MACD line has moved below its signal line. Such crossover is considered a bearish signal.

During the last week, the price has fallen below the Parabolic SAR (stop and reversal). A Parabolic SAR above the price is a bearish signal, and it indicates that momentum is likely to remain in the downward direction. A Parabolic SAR is used as a trailing stop loss for long or short positions. It works best during strong trending periods. Use the following links to access Parabolic SAR Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the Parabolic SAR close to the price level.

During the last week, the price has declined below the moving average in the center of the Bollinger Bands. The Bollinger Bands are often used with a non-oscillator indicator like chart patterns or a trendline. The signals are considered more reliable if these indicators confirm the recommendation of the Bollinger Bands. Use the following links to access the Bollinger Bands Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the price above the Upper Bollinger Band or below the Lower Bollinger Band.

Candlestick pattern: [See TROW candlestick chart pattern]
On Friday the chart has formed a Bullish Homing Pigeon Candlestick pattern. A Bullish Homing Pigeon pattern occurs in a downtrend. Market usually has a tendency to enter into a congestion phase following a Homing Pigeon pattern.The reliability of the Bullish Homing Pigeon is medium. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks that had a Bullish Homing Pigeon Candlestick pattern during the last week.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 54.73
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 59.20
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 34.25
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 43.26
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 1.80
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 61.71
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 15.90
Overbought
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 85.04
Overbought
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 75.31
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 1.43
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Monthly Trendline Resistance 123.43
Parabolic System 122.09
Upper Bollinger Band 121.24
Monthly Trendline Support 119.43
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 119.14
20 Day Moving Average 117.85
Price 116.64
Daily Stochastic Crossing 116.64
50 Day Moving Average 113.56
Lower Bollinger Band 113.27
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector Financials 11
Industry Asset Management & Custody Banks 71
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
High 122.27
High Date 03/28/2024
Low 114.88
Low Date 04/05/2024
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 122.27
High Date 03/28/2024
Low 114.88
Low Date 04/05/2024
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Rising Wedge
Status Broken Support
Resistance 123.43
Support 119.43
Low 103.40
Low Date 02/13/2024
High 122.27
High Date 03/28/2024
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 87.44
Low Date 10/27/2023
High 122.27
High Date 03/28/2024
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 224.56
High Date 08/30/2021
Low 87.44
Low Date 10/27/2023
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.