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Uptrend Exhaustion

Uptrend Exhaustion stock alert presents a technical analysis stock market picking technique based on combination of technical indicators, stock trend analysis, trend following indicators and pattern recognition. Stock market alert is a warning signal. Uptrend Exhaustion alert indicates that long term uptrend is exhausted and probability of long term trend reversal is high. Uptrend exhaustion stock market alert presents relatively low to medium risk - high reword stock pick for overvalued stocks.

The strategy is based on selling (or taking a short) position on anticipation of uptrend reversal.

Uptrend Exhaustion

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- 4/5/2024 -
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Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd (RCL) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Lane's Stochastic is overboughtWilliams' Percentage Range is strongly overboughtRelative Strength Index, Lane's Stochastic and MACD bearish divergence
Daily :Stochastic signal line moved below overbought areaDaily  MACD line has moved below its signal line
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It was the negative week for the Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd (RCL). During the week, the RCL dropped -2.99 points, or -2.15%, and closed at 136.02 on Friday, April 5, 2024. It was the worst weekly loss since February 9, 2024. RCL was trading at average weekly trading volume.

Long-term trend: [See RCL long-term trend chart]
A long-term uptrend had started on July 14, 2022 at 31.09 and reached 141.70 on April 4, 2024. RCL gained -110.61 points, or -355.77%, in 90 weeks. The chart has formed a Broadening Ascending Wedge chart pattern. The trend support level is at 94.19 and resistance is at 167.28. A Broadening Ascending Wedge pattern is considered to be a reversal formation. It usually appears in a mature trend, characterized by overbought/oversold long-term and short-term indicators, and often generates divergence on long-term indicators. Use the following link to access a Broadening Ascending Wedge chart pattern help, or use a Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with Broadening Ascending Wedge pattern in a long-term trend.

Medium-term trend: [See RCL medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term uptrend had started on February 20, 2024 at 113.10 and reached 141.70 on April 4, 2024. RCL gained -28.60 points, or -25.29%, in 6 weeks. The price is now at the 19.86% retracement level.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See RCL weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly Lane's Stochastic is overbought while Williams' Percentage Range is strongly overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with overbought weekly Lane's Stochastic or strongly overbought weekly Williams' Percentage Range. Weekly Relative Strength Index, Lane's Stochastic and MACD have bearish divergence. Use the following links to access the Relative Strength Index, Lane's Stochastic and MACD help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with weekly Relative Strength Index, Lane's Stochastic and MACD bearish divergence. The divergence between price and indicator is considering one of the most important buy/sell stocks trading signal. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following links to access Lane's Stochastic, Relative Strength Index and Williams' Percentage Range help.

The weekly MACD line is above its signal line since March 15, 2024. This is an indication that the medium-term trend is up. The distance between MACD and the signal line is low, but getting bigger. It indicates that the current medium-term uptrend is getting stronger. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See RCL short-term trend chart]
A short-term downtrend had started on April 4, 2024 at 141.70 and reached 134.56 on April 5, 2024. RCL lost 7.14 points, or 5.04%, in 1 days. The price is now at the 20.45% retracement level.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See RCL daily technical indicators chart]
Daily technical indicators are neutral. During the last week, daily Lane's Stochastic signal line (%D) has moved below overbought area. Such crossover is considered a bearish signal.

During the last week, daily MACD line has moved below its signal line. Such crossover is considered a bearish signal.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 65.46
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 28.80
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 47.90
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 61.52
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 3.63
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 56.42
Bearish
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 9.60
Strong Overbought
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 80.01
Overbought Bearish
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 75.57
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 8.73 Bearish
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Upper Bollinger Band 142.32
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 137.45
Daily Stochastic Crossing 137.18
Price 136.02
Parabolic System 134.43
20 Day Moving Average 133.96
50 Day Moving Average 126.70
Lower Bollinger Band 125.08
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector Consumer Discretionary 7
Industry Hotels, Resorts & Cruise Lines 76
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
High 141.70
High Date 04/04/2024
Low 134.56
Low Date 04/05/2024
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 113.10
Low Date 02/20/2024
High 141.70
High Date 04/04/2024
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 78.35
Low Date 10/26/2023
High 141.70
High Date 04/04/2024
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Broadening Ascending Wedge
Status Valid
Resistance 167.28
Support 94.19
Low 31.09
Low Date 07/14/2022
High 141.70
High Date 04/04/2024
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 19.25
Low Date 03/18/2020
High 141.70
High Date 04/04/2024
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.