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Downtrend exhaustion - Stock Market Timing Signals and trading strategies.

Downtrend exhaustion stock alert presents a stock market trading strategy based on combination of timing signals, technical indicators, trend analysis and pattern recognition. Stock market alert is a warning signal. It indicates that long term downtrend is exhausted and probability of long term trend reversal is high. Downtrend exhaustion stock market alert presents relatively low to medium risk - high reword stock pick for undervalued stocks. The strategy is based on taking long position on anticipation of downtrend reversal. Downtrend exhaustion timing strategy and stock trading system presents alerts for S&P 500 index members, ETFs and market indices. As S&P 500 trading system it shows excellent results for index timing also.

Downtrend Exhaustion

Archive
- 4/5/2024 -
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CurrencyShares Canadian Dollar Trust (FXC) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Trend resistance at 71.92
Daily :Daily  MACD line has moved below its signal lineWilliams' Percentage Range is oversoldPrice is close to the 50 Day Moving AverageThe price touches the lower Bollinger BandThe Bollinger Bands are historically close together
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It was the negative week for the CurrencyShares Canadian Dollar Trust (FXC). During the week, the FXC gave back -0.43 points, or -0.59%, and closed at 71.93 on Friday, April 5, 2024. It was the worst weekly loss since January 5, 2024. Weekly volume was -40% below average.

Long-term trend: [See FXC long-term trend chart]
A long-term uptrend had started on October 13, 2022 at 70.03 and reached 74.64 on July 13, 2023. FXC gained -4.61 points, or -6.58%, in 39 weeks. The price is now at the 58.79% retracement level.

Medium-term trend: [See FXC medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term downtrend had started on December 27, 2023 at 74.28 and reached 71.64 on April 5, 2024. FXC lost 2.64 points, or 3.55%, in 14 weeks. The chart has formed a Falling Wedge chart pattern. The price is near the trend resistance line (71.92). The resistance is usually stronger when technical indicators are overbought. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with price testing the trend resistance line in a medium-term trend.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See FXC weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly technical indicators are neutral.

The weekly MACD line is below its signal line since February 23, 2024. This is an indication that the medium-term trend is down. The distance between MACD and the signal line is low, but getting bigger. It indicates that the current medium-term downtrend is getting stronger. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See FXC short-term trend chart]
A short-term downtrend had started on March 7, 2024 at 72.66 and reached 71.64 on April 5, 2024. FXC lost 1.02 points, or 1.40%, in 29 days. The price is now at the 28.43% retracement level.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See FXC daily technical indicators chart]
Daily Williams' Percentage Range is strongly oversold. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with daily strongly oversold Williams' Percentage Range. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following link to access Williams' Percentage Range help.

During the last week, daily MACD line has moved below its signal line. Such crossover is considered a bearish signal.

The price touches the lower Bollinger Band. The distance between the Bollinger Bands (1.17%) is close to one year low (1.11%). It is 51.32% lower than one year average. It indicates the period of low volatility of the stock price, and it is considered a buy signal for the option traders. The Bollinger Bands are often used with a non-oscillator indicator like chart patterns or a trendline. The signals are considered more reliable if these indicators confirm the recommendation of the Bollinger Bands. Use the following links to access the Bollinger Bands Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the price above the Upper Bollinger Band or below the Lower Bollinger Band.

Price is close to the 50 Day Moving Average. While daily technical indicators are oversold, the 50 Day Moving Average is considered a support level. The moving average crossover signals work better when the stock develops a strong trend, but they are ineffective when the stock is in a trading range. Moving average crossover systems can be effective, but should be used in conjunction with trend patterns, momentum indicators, candlesticks and other aspects of technical analysis. Use the following links to access Moving Average Crossover trading technique, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the Moving Average close to the price level.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 44.28
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 95.00
Strong Oversold
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 35.06
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 28.10
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) -0.08
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 23.14
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 70.40
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 25.00
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 33.28
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 0.00
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Parabolic System 72.65
Upper Bollinger Band 72.63
50 Day Moving Average 72.38
20 Day Moving Average 72.25
Daily Stochastic Crossing 72.01
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 71.95
Price 71.93
Weekly Trendline Resistance 71.92
Lower Bollinger Band 71.79
Weekly Trendline Support 71.64
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector
Industry
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
High 72.66
High Date 03/07/2024
Low 71.64
Low Date 04/05/2024
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern Falling Wedge
Status Test Resistance
Resistance 71.92
Support 71.64
High 74.28
High Date 12/27/2023
Low 71.64
Low Date 04/05/2024
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 74.64
High Date 07/13/2023
Low 70.35
Low Date 11/01/2023
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 70.03
Low Date 10/13/2022
High 74.64
High Date 07/13/2023
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 81.77
High Date 06/01/2021
Low 70.03
Low Date 10/13/2022
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.