The Greedy Trader Weekly Analysis
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Downtrend exhaustion - Stock Market Timing Signals and trading strategies.

Downtrend exhaustion stock alert presents a stock market trading strategy based on combination of timing signals, technical indicators, trend analysis and pattern recognition. Stock market alert is a warning signal. It indicates that long term downtrend is exhausted and probability of long term trend reversal is high. Downtrend exhaustion stock market alert presents relatively low to medium risk - high reword stock pick for undervalued stocks. The strategy is based on taking long position on anticipation of downtrend reversal. Downtrend exhaustion timing strategy and stock trading system presents alerts for S&P 500 index members, ETFs and market indices. As S&P 500 trading system it shows excellent results for index timing also.

Downtrend Exhaustion

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- 4/5/2024 -
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Apartment Investment & Mgmt'A' (AIV) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Williams' Percentage Range is overboughtLane's Stochastic and MACD bearish divergenceOversold sectorBroken trend resistance line
Daily :Stochastic has declined below the signal lineDaily  MACD line has moved below its signal lineA Parabolic SAR indicator is above and near the price
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It was the negative week for the Apartment Investment & Mgmt'A' (AIV). During the week, the AIV dropped -0.35 points, or -4.27%, and closed at 7.84 on Friday, April 5, 2024. It was the worst weekly loss since February 23, 2024. Weekly volume was -41% below average.

AIV is a member of Real Estate Sector. Real Estate is the second most oversold sector. Sector/industry rotation is considered a proven strategy to beat the market. Use the following links to find overbought/oversold technical indicators by Sector or by Industry.

Long-term trend: [See AIV long-term trend chart]
A long-term downtrend had started on August 12, 2022 at 9.79 and reached 5.63 on October 30, 2023. AIV lost 4.16 points, or 42.49%, in 63 weeks. The chart has formed a Falling Channel chart pattern. The trend support level is at 5.22 and resistance is at 8.34. A Falling Channel represents price movement contained between parallel lower (support) and upper (resistance) trend lines. Trading Channeling stocks is one of the most reliable and accurate trading techniques that provide traders with precise entry and exit points as well as stop-losses and take-profit recommendations. Use the following link to access a Falling Channel chart pattern help, or use a Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with Falling Channel pattern in a long-term trend.

Medium-term trend: [See AIV medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term downtrend had started on July 24, 2023 at 8.93 and reached 5.63 on October 30, 2023. AIV lost 3.30 points, or 36.95%, in 14 weeks. The chart has formed a Symmetric Triangle chart pattern. The downtrend resistance line (7.58) is broken. A broken support is considered to be a long-term bullish signal. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend resistance line in a medium-term trend.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See AIV weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly Williams' Percentage Range is overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with overbought weekly Williams' Percentage Range. Weekly Lane's Stochastic and MACD have bearish divergence. Use the following links to access the Lane's Stochastic and MACD help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with weekly Lane's Stochastic and MACD bearish divergence. The divergence between price and indicator is considering one of the most important buy/sell stocks trading signal. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following links to access Lane's Stochastic and Williams' Percentage Range help.

The weekly MACD line is above its signal line since December 1, 2023. The distance between MACD and the signal line is low and getting smaller. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See AIV short-term trend chart]
A short-term uptrend had started on February 23, 2024 at 7.06 and reached 8.23 on April 1, 2024. AIV gained -1.17 points, or -16.57%, in 38 days. The chart has formed a Broadening Ascending Wedge chart pattern. The trend support level is at 7.62 and resistance is at 8.34. A Broadening Ascending Wedge pattern is considered to be a reversal formation. It usually appears in a mature trend, characterized by overbought/oversold long-term and short-term indicators, and often generates divergence on long-term indicators. Use the following link to access a Broadening Ascending Wedge chart pattern help, or use a Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with Broadening Ascending Wedge pattern in a short-term trend.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See AIV daily technical indicators chart]
Daily technical indicators are neutral. During the last week, daily Lane's Stochastic main line (%K) has declined below the overbought signal line (%D). Such crossover is considered a bearish signal.

During the last week, daily MACD line has moved below its signal line. Such crossover is considered a bearish signal.

A Parabolic SAR (stop and reversal) indicator (7.78) comes close to the price (7.84). It indicates that the trend is getting weaker. A Parabolic SAR is used as a trailing stop loss for long or short positions. It works best during strong trending periods. Use the following links to access Parabolic SAR Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the Parabolic SAR close to the price level.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 63.33
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 42.20
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 39.49
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 53.53
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 0.10
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 50.17
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 18.70
Overbought
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 67.26
Bearish
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 66.26
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 0.05 Bearish
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Yearly Trendline Resistance 8.34
Weekly Trendline Resistance 8.34
Upper Bollinger Band 8.26
Daily Stochastic Crossing 7.93
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 7.87
Price 7.84
20 Day Moving Average 7.79
Parabolic System 7.78
50 Day Moving Average 7.63
Weekly Trendline Support 7.62
Quarterly Trendline Support 7.58
Quarterly Trendline Resistance 7.50
Lower Bollinger Band 7.36
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector Real Estate 2
Industry REIT - Residential 57
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
High 8.23
High Date 04/01/2024
Low 7.79
Low Date 04/02/2024
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Broadening Ascending Wedge
Status Valid
Resistance 8.34
Support 7.62
Low 7.06
Low Date 02/23/2024
High 8.23
High Date 04/01/2024
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 5.63
Low Date 10/30/2023
High 8.23
High Date 04/01/2024
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern Symmetric Triangle
Status Broken Resistance
Resistance 7.50
Support 7.58
High 8.93
High Date 07/24/2023
Low 5.63
Low Date 10/30/2023
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern Falling Channel
Status Valid
Resistance 8.34
Support 5.22
High 9.79
High Date 08/12/2022
Low 5.63
Low Date 10/30/2023
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.