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- 4/5/2024 -
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Health Care Select Sector SPDR (XLV) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Stochastic has declined below the signal lineBroken trend support line
Daily :Daily  MACD line has moved below its signal lineThe price has fallen below the Parabolic SARBearish Thrusting CandlestickWilliams' Percentage Range is oversoldPrice has crossed below the 50 Day Moving AveragePrice is near the Fibonacci 23.6% retracement levelThe price has declined below the moving average in the center of the Bollinger Bands
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It was the negative week for the Health Care Select Sector SPDR (XLV). During the week, the XLV dropped -4.51 points, or -3.05%, and closed at 143.22 on Friday, April 5, 2024. It was the worst weekly loss since October 27, 2023. Weekly volume was 9% above average.

Long-term trend: [See XLV long-term trend chart]
A long-term uptrend had started on June 16, 2022 at 118.75 and reached 148.27 on February 23, 2024. XLV gained -29.52 points, or -24.86%, in 88 weeks. The price is now at the 17.11% retracement level.

Medium-term trend: [See XLV medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term uptrend had started on October 27, 2023 at 122.59 and reached 148.27 on February 23, 2024. XLV gained -25.68 points, or -20.95%, in 17 weeks. The chart has formed a Rising Channel chart pattern. The uptrend support line (150.62) is broken. Usually a broken support is considered to be a long-term bearish signal, but since daily indicators are oversold a short-term pull back is possible. XLV may retest the broken support line. It is considered to be a resistance line now. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend support in a medium-term trend.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See XLV weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly technical indicators are neutral. During the last week, weekly Lane's Stochastic main line (%K) has declined below the overbought signal line (%D). Such crossover is considered a bearish signal. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following link to access Lane's Stochastic help.

The weekly MACD line is above its signal line since December 1, 2023. This is an indication that the medium-term trend is up. The distance between MACD and the signal line is low and getting smaller. It indicates that the current medium-term uptrend is getting weak. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See XLV short-term trend chart]
A short-term downtrend had started on March 28, 2024 at 148.23 and reached 141.61 on April 5, 2024. XLV lost 6.62 points, or 4.47%, in 8 days. Price is near the Fibonacci 23.6% retracement level. The Fibonacci retracement level is considered a support/resistance level.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See XLV daily technical indicators chart]
Daily Williams' Percentage Range is strongly oversold. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with daily strongly oversold Williams' Percentage Range. Use the following link to access Williams' Percentage Range help.

During the last week, daily MACD line has moved below its signal line. Such crossover is considered a bearish signal.

During the last week, the price has fallen below the Parabolic SAR (stop and reversal). A Parabolic SAR above the price is a bearish signal, and it indicates that momentum is likely to remain in the downward direction. A Parabolic SAR is used as a trailing stop loss for long or short positions. It works best during strong trending periods. Use the following links to access Parabolic SAR Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the Parabolic SAR close to the price level.

During the last week, the price has declined below the moving average in the center of the Bollinger Bands. The Bollinger Bands are often used with a non-oscillator indicator like chart patterns or a trendline. The signals are considered more reliable if these indicators confirm the recommendation of the Bollinger Bands. Use the following links to access the Bollinger Bands Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the price above the Upper Bollinger Band or below the Lower Bollinger Band.

During the last week, the price has crossed below the 50 Day Moving Average. While the medium-term trend is up and daily technical indicators are oversold, the 50 Day Moving Average is considered a support level. The moving average crossover signals work better when the stock develops a strong trend, but they are ineffective when the stock is in a trading range. Moving average crossover systems can be effective, but should be used in conjunction with trend patterns, momentum indicators, candlesticks and other aspects of technical analysis. Use the following links to access Moving Average Crossover trading technique, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the Moving Average close to the price level.

Candlestick pattern: [See XLV candlestick chart pattern]
On Friday the chart has formed a Bearish Thrusting Candlestick pattern. This pattern occurs in a downtrend and it shows a rally failure in a down market. This is a weak continuation pattern. The reliability of the Bearish Thrusting pattern is low. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks that had a Bearish Thrusting Candlestick pattern during the last week.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 41.05
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 98.20
Strong Oversold
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 21.22
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 21.36
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 0.23
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 64.53
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 27.60
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 74.47
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 66.78
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 3.34
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Monthly Trendline Resistance 156.22
Monthly Trendline Support 150.62
Upper Bollinger Band 147.87
Parabolic System 147.64
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 146.45
20 Day Moving Average 145.55
50 Day Moving Average 144.71
Price 143.22
Daily Stochastic Crossing 142.50
Lower Bollinger Band 142.34
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector
Industry
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
High 148.23
High Date 03/28/2024
Low 141.61
Low Date 04/05/2024
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 148.27
High Date 02/23/2024
Low 141.61
Low Date 04/05/2024
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Rising Channel
Status Broken Support
Resistance 156.22
Support 150.62
Low 122.59
Low Date 10/27/2023
High 148.27
High Date 02/23/2024
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 118.75
Low Date 06/16/2022
High 148.27
High Date 02/23/2024
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 21.63
Low Date 03/06/2009
High 148.27
High Date 02/23/2024
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.