The Greedy Trader Weekly Analysis
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- 2/13/2026 -
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Energy Select Sector SPDR (XLE) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Broken uptrend resistance line - uptrend exhaustionBroken uptrend resistance line - uptrend exhaustionRelative Strength Index and Williams' Percentage Range are overboughtLane's Stochastic is strongly overbought
Daily :Williams' Percentage Range is overboughtLane's Stochastic is strongly overboughtStochastic has declined below the signal lineRelative Strength Index and MACD bearish divergenceTrend resistance at 54.37
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It was a eighth consecutive positive week for the Energy Select Sector SPDR (XLE). During the week, the XLE gained 1.10 points, or 2.07%, and closed at 54.35 on Friday, February 13, 2026. Weekly volume was 38% above average.

Long-term trend: [See XLE long-term trend chart]
A long-term uptrend had started on April 9, 2025 at 37.25 and reached 55.24 on February 12, 2026. XLE gained -17.99 points, or -48.30%, in 44 weeks. The chart has formed a Rising Channel chart pattern. The uptrend resistance line (45.11) is broken, while daily and weekly technical indicators are overbought. Uptrend is exhausted and trend reversal is possible soon. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend resistance line in a long-term trend.

Medium-term trend: [See XLE medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term uptrend had started on October 16, 2025 at 42.35 and reached 55.24 on February 12, 2026. XLE gained -12.89 points, or -30.44%, in 17 weeks. The chart has formed a Broadening Ascending Wedge chart pattern. The uptrend resistance line (45.11) is broken, while daily and weekly technical indicators are overbought. Uptrend is exhausted and trend reversal is possible soon. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend resistance line in a medium-term trend.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See XLE weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly Relative Strength Index and Williams' Percentage Range are overbought while Lane's Stochastic is strongly overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with overbought weekly Relative Strength Index and Williams' Percentage Range or strongly overbought weekly Lane's Stochastic. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following links to access Lane's Stochastic, Relative Strength Index and Williams' Percentage Range help.

The weekly MACD line is above its signal line since June 13, 2025. This is an indication that the medium-term trend is up. The distance between MACD and the signal line is near its high and getting bigger. It indicates that the current medium-term uptrend is strong. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See XLE short-term trend chart]
A short-term uptrend had started on December 16, 2025 at 43.77 and reached 55.24 on February 12, 2026. XLE gained -11.47 points, or -26.21%, in 58 days. The chart has formed a Broadening Ascending Wedge chart pattern. The price is near the trend resistance line (54.37). The resistance is usually stronger when technical indicators are overbought. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with price testing the trend resistance line in a short-term trend.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See XLE daily technical indicators chart]
Daily Williams' Percentage Range is overbought while Lane's Stochastic is strongly overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with overbought daily Williams' Percentage Range or strongly overbought daily Lane's Stochastic. During the last week, daily Lane's Stochastic main line (%K) has declined below the overbought signal line (%D). Such crossover is considered a bearish signal. Daily Relative Strength Index and MACD have bearish divergence. Use the following links to access the Relative Strength Index and MACD help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with daily Relative Strength Index and MACD bearish divergence. The divergence between price and indicator is considering one of the most important buy/sell stocks trading signal.

The daily MACD line is above its signal line since December 31, 2025. This is an indication that the short-term trend is up.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 74.45
Bearish
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 16.80
Overbought
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 90.07
Strong Overbought
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 82.59
Overbought
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 1.76 Bearish
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 80.39
Overbought
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 10.10
Overbought
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 90.15
Strong Overbought
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 81.39
Overbought
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 0.93
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Upper Bollinger Band 55.87
Daily Stochastic Crossing 54.79
Weekly Trendline Resistance 54.37
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 54.35
Price 54.35
Parabolic System 53.73
20 Day Moving Average 51.16
Monthly Trendline Resistance 49.75
Quarterly Trendline Resistance 49.54
50 Day Moving Average 47.78
Weekly Trendline Support 47.50
Lower Bollinger Band 46.86
Monthly Trendline Support 45.11
Quarterly Trendline Support 45.11
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector
Industry
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Low 49.77
Low Date 02/02/2026
High 55.24
High Date 02/12/2026
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Broadening Ascending Wedge
Status Test Resistance
Resistance 54.37
Support 47.50
Low 43.77
Low Date 12/16/2025
High 55.24
High Date 02/12/2026
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Broadening Ascending Wedge
Status Broken Resistance
Resistance 49.75
Support 45.11
Low 42.35
Low Date 10/16/2025
High 55.24
High Date 02/12/2026
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Rising Channel
Status Broken Resistance
Resistance 49.54
Support 45.11
Low 37.25
Low Date 04/09/2025
High 55.24
High Date 02/12/2026
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 11.44
Low Date 03/18/2020
High 55.24
High Date 02/12/2026
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.