The Greedy Trader Weekly Analysis
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- 10/17/2025 -
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Energy Select Sector SPDR (XLE) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Broken trend support line
Daily :Williams' Percentage Range is oversoldStochastic has raised above the signal lineLane's Stochastic bullish divergenceBroken trend support line
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It was a first positive week for the Energy Select Sector SPDR (XLE). During the week, the XLE climbed 0.76 points, or 0.89%, and closed at 85.98 on Friday, October 17, 2025. Weekly volume was -22% below average.

Long-term trend: [See XLE long-term trend chart]
A long-term uptrend had started on March 18, 2020 at 22.88 and reached 98.97 on April 12, 2024. XLE gained -76.09 points, or -332.56%, in 212 weeks. The chart has formed a Rising Wedge chart pattern. The uptrend support line (120.60) is broken. Usually a broken support is considered to be a long-term bearish signal, but since daily indicators are oversold a short-term pull back is possible. XLE may retest the broken support line. It is considered to be a resistance line now. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend support in a long-term trend.

Medium-term trend: [See XLE medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term downtrend had started on April 12, 2024 at 98.97 and reached 74.49 on April 9, 2025. XLE lost 24.48 points, or 24.73%, in 51 weeks. The chart has formed a Broadening Descending Wedge chart pattern. The trend support level is at 66.67 and resistance is at 96.41. A Broadening Descending Wedge pattern is considered to be a reversal formation. It usually appears in a mature trend, characterized by overbought/oversold long-term and short-term indicators, and often generates divergence on long-term indicators. Use the following link to access a Broadening Descending Wedge chart pattern help, or use a Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with Broadening Descending Wedge pattern in a medium-term trend.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See XLE weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly technical indicators are neutral.

The weekly MACD line is above its signal line since June 13, 2025. The distance between MACD and the signal line is low and getting smaller. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See XLE short-term trend chart]
A short-term uptrend had started on August 11, 2025 at 84.10 and reached 92.91 on September 26, 2025. XLE gained -8.81 points, or -10.48%, in 46 days. The chart has formed a Rising Channel chart pattern. The uptrend support line (89.93) is broken. Usually a broken support is considered to be a long-term bearish signal, but since daily indicators are oversold a short-term pull back is possible. XLE may retest the broken support line. It is considered to be a resistance line now. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend support in a short-term trend.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See XLE daily technical indicators chart]
Daily Williams' Percentage Range is oversold. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with daily oversold Williams' Percentage Range. During the last week, daily Lane's Stochastic main line (%K) has rallied above the oversold signal line (%D). Such crossover is considered a bullish signal. Daily Lane's Stochastic has bullish divergence. Use the following links to access the Lane's Stochastic help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with daily Lane's Stochastic bullish divergence. The divergence between price and indicator is considering one of the most important buy/sell stocks trading signal. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following links to access Lane's Stochastic and Williams' Percentage Range help.

The daily MACD line is below its signal line since September 30, 2025.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 28.70
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 88.50
Oversold
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 22.83
Bullish
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 20.99
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) -0.30
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 44.23
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 60.40
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 56.90
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 48.28
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 0.23
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Quarterly Trendline Resistance 96.41
Weekly Trendline Resistance 94.68
Upper Bollinger Band 91.49
Weekly Trendline Support 89.93
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 88.93
20 Day Moving Average 88.39
Parabolic System 88.11
50 Day Moving Average 87.97
Price 85.98
Daily Stochastic Crossing 85.86
Lower Bollinger Band 83.90
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector
Industry
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
High 92.91
High Date 09/26/2025
Low 84.70
Low Date 10/16/2025
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Rising Channel
Status Broken Support
Resistance 94.68
Support 89.93
Low 84.10
Low Date 08/11/2025
High 92.91
High Date 09/26/2025
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 74.49
Low Date 04/09/2025
High 92.91
High Date 09/26/2025
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern Broadening Descending Wedge
Status Valid
Resistance 96.41
Support 66.67
High 98.97
High Date 04/12/2024
Low 74.49
Low Date 04/09/2025
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Rising Wedge
Status Broken Support
Resistance 103.56
Support 120.60
Low 22.88
Low Date 03/18/2020
High 98.97
High Date 04/12/2024
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.