The Greedy Trader Weekly Analysis
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- 10/10/2025 -
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Vanguard Small Cap Value ETF (VBR) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Williams' Percentage Range is overboughtStochastic has declined below the signal linePrice is near the Fibonacci 23.6% retracement level
Daily :The price has fallen below the Parabolic SARThe price is below the lower Bollinger BandPrice has crossed below the 50 Day Moving Average
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It was the negative week for the Vanguard Small Cap Value ETF (VBR). During the week, the VBR dropped -9.73 points, or -4.61%, and closed at 201.42 on Friday, October 10, 2025. Weekly volume was -33% below average.

Long-term trend: [See VBR long-term trend chart]
A long-term uptrend had started on September 27, 2022 at 142.53 and reached 219.00 on November 25, 2024. VBR gained -76.47 points, or -53.65%, in 112 weeks. The chart has formed a Broadening Ascending Wedge chart pattern. The trend support level is at 163.82 and resistance is at 238.36. A Broadening Ascending Wedge pattern is considered to be a reversal formation. It usually appears in a mature trend, characterized by overbought/oversold long-term and short-term indicators, and often generates divergence on long-term indicators. Use the following link to access a Broadening Ascending Wedge chart pattern help, or use a Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with Broadening Ascending Wedge pattern in a long-term trend.

Medium-term trend: [See VBR medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term uptrend had started on April 9, 2025 at 160.20 and reached 213.18 on September 17, 2025. VBR gained -52.98 points, or -33.07%, in 23 weeks. Price is near the Fibonacci 23.6% retracement level. The Fibonacci retracement level is considered a support/resistance level.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See VBR weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly Williams' Percentage Range is overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with overbought weekly Williams' Percentage Range. During the last week, weekly Lane's Stochastic main line (%K) has declined below the overbought signal line (%D). Such crossover is considered a bearish signal. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following links to access Lane's Stochastic and Williams' Percentage Range help.

The weekly MACD line is above its signal line since May 23, 2025. This is an indication that the medium-term trend is up. The distance between MACD and the signal line is low and getting smaller. It indicates that the current medium-term uptrend is getting weak. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See VBR short-term trend chart]
A short-term downtrend had started on October 3, 2025 at 212.60 and reached 201.34 on October 10, 2025. VBR lost 11.26 points, or 5.30%, in 7 days. Price is near the trend low.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See VBR daily technical indicators chart]
Daily technical indicators are neutral.

The daily MACD line is below its signal line since September 11, 2025. This is an indication that the short-term trend is down.

During the last week, the price has fallen below the Parabolic SAR (stop and reversal). A Parabolic SAR above the price is a bearish signal, and it indicates that momentum is likely to remain in the downward direction. A Parabolic SAR is used as a trailing stop loss for long or short positions. It works best during strong trending periods. Use the following links to access Parabolic SAR Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the Parabolic SAR close to the price level.

The price has closed on Friday below the lower Bollinger Band. It is considered a bearish signal. The Bollinger Bands are often used with a non-oscillator indicator like chart patterns or a trendline. The signals are considered more reliable if these indicators confirm the recommendation of the Bollinger Bands. Use the following links to access the Bollinger Bands Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the price above the Upper Bollinger Band or below the Lower Bollinger Band.

During the last week, the price has crossed below the 50 Day Moving Average. Such crossover is considered a bearish signal. The moving average crossover signals work better when the stock develops a strong trend, but they are ineffective when the stock is in a trading range. Moving average crossover systems can be effective, but should be used in conjunction with trend patterns, momentum indicators, candlesticks and other aspects of technical analysis. Use the following links to access Moving Average Crossover trading technique, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the Moving Average close to the price level.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 29.83
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 43.70
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 35.06
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 40.38
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 0.64
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 49.64
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 18.10
Overbought
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 79.88
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 70.75
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 3.53
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Yearly Trendline Resistance 238.36
Upper Bollinger Band 212.53
Parabolic System 211.12
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 210.58
20 Day Moving Average 209.06
50 Day Moving Average 206.70
Daily Stochastic Crossing 204.33
Lower Bollinger Band 204.26
Price 201.42
Yearly Trendline Support 163.82
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector
Industry
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
High 212.60
High Date 10/03/2025
Low 201.34
Low Date 10/10/2025
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 212.60
High Date 10/03/2025
Low 201.34
Low Date 10/10/2025
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 213.18
High Date 09/17/2025
Low 201.34
Low Date 10/10/2025
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 160.20
Low Date 04/09/2025
High 213.18
High Date 09/17/2025
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Broadening Ascending Wedge
Status Valid
Resistance 238.36
Support 163.82
Low 142.53
Low Date 09/27/2022
High 219.00
High Date 11/25/2024
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.