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Uptrend Exhaustion

Uptrend Exhaustion stock alert presents a technical analysis stock market picking technique based on combination of technical indicators, stock trend analysis, trend following indicators and pattern recognition. Stock market alert is a warning signal. Uptrend Exhaustion alert indicates that long term uptrend is exhausted and probability of long term trend reversal is high. Uptrend exhaustion stock market alert presents relatively low to medium risk - high reword stock pick for overvalued stocks.

The strategy is based on selling (or taking a short) position on anticipation of uptrend reversal.

Uptrend Exhaustion

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- 9/5/2025 -
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J.P. Morgan Chase & Co. (JPM) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Overbought sectorBroken uptrend resistance line - uptrend exhaustionWilliams' Percentage Range is strongly overboughtStochastic has declined below the signal lineRelative Strength Index, Lane's Stochastic and MACD bearish divergence
Daily :Williams' Percentage Range is strongly overboughtStochastic has declined below the signal lineA Parabolic SAR indicator is above and near the pricePrice is close to the 50 Day Moving AverageThe price has declined below the moving average in the center of the Bollinger Bands
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It was the negative week for the J.P. Morgan Chase & Co. (JPM). During the week, the JPM dropped -7.04 points, or -2.34%, and closed at 294.38 on Friday, September 5, 2025. Weekly volume was -19% below average.

JPM is a member of Financials Sector. Financials is the most overbought sector. Sector/industry rotation is considered a proven strategy to beat the market. Use the following links to find overbought/oversold technical indicators by Sector or by Industry.

Long-term trend: [See JPM long-term trend chart]
A long-term uptrend had started on March 6, 2009 at 14.96 and reached 305.15 on September 5, 2025. JPM gained -290.19 points, or -1939.77%, in 861 weeks. The chart has formed a Broadening Ascending Wedge chart pattern. The uptrend resistance line (107.19) is broken, while daily and weekly technical indicators are overbought. Uptrend is exhausted and trend reversal is possible soon. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend resistance line in a long-term trend.

Medium-term trend: [See JPM medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term uptrend had started on October 12, 2022 at 101.28 and reached 305.15 on September 5, 2025. JPM gained -203.87 points, or -201.29%, in 151 weeks. The chart has formed a Broadening Ascending Wedge chart pattern. The trend support level is at 219.23 and resistance is at 315.97. A Broadening Ascending Wedge pattern is considered to be a reversal formation. It usually appears in a mature trend, characterized by overbought/oversold long-term and short-term indicators, and often generates divergence on long-term indicators. Use the following link to access a Broadening Ascending Wedge chart pattern help, or use a Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with Broadening Ascending Wedge pattern in a medium-term trend.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See JPM weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly Williams' Percentage Range is strongly overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with strongly overbought weekly overbought Williams' Percentage Range. During the last week, weekly Lane's Stochastic main line (%K) has declined below the overbought signal line (%D). Such crossover is considered a bearish signal. Weekly Relative Strength Index, Lane's Stochastic and MACD have bearish divergence. Use the following links to access the Relative Strength Index, Lane's Stochastic and MACD help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with weekly Relative Strength Index, Lane's Stochastic and MACD bearish divergence. The divergence between price and indicator is considering one of the most important buy/sell stocks trading signal. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following links to access Lane's Stochastic, Relative Strength Index and Williams' Percentage Range help.

The weekly MACD line is above its signal line since May 16, 2025. This is an indication that the medium-term trend is up. The distance between MACD and the signal line is low and getting smaller. It indicates that the current medium-term uptrend is getting weak. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See JPM short-term trend chart]
A short-term uptrend had started on August 1, 2025 at 284.24 and reached 305.15 on September 5, 2025. JPM gained -20.91 points, or -7.36%, in 35 days. The price is now at the 51.51% retracement level.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See JPM daily technical indicators chart]
Daily Williams' Percentage Range is strongly overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with strongly overbought daily overbought Williams' Percentage Range. During the last week, daily Lane's Stochastic main line (%K) has declined below the overbought signal line (%D). Such crossover is considered a bearish signal.

The daily MACD line is above its signal line since August 25, 2025. This is an indication that the short-term trend is up. The distance between MACD and the signal line is low and getting smaller. It indicates that the current short-term uptrend is getting weak.

A Parabolic SAR (stop and reversal) indicator (294.02) comes close to the price (294.38). It indicates that the trend is getting weaker. A Parabolic SAR is used as a trailing stop loss for long or short positions. It works best during strong trending periods. Use the following links to access Parabolic SAR Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the Parabolic SAR close to the price level.

During the last week, the price has declined below the moving average in the center of the Bollinger Bands. The Bollinger Bands are often used with a non-oscillator indicator like chart patterns or a trendline. The signals are considered more reliable if these indicators confirm the recommendation of the Bollinger Bands. Use the following links to access the Bollinger Bands Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the price above the Upper Bollinger Band or below the Lower Bollinger Band.

Price is close to the 50 Day Moving Average. While daily technical indicators are overbought, the 50 Day Moving Average is considered a resistance level. The moving average crossover signals work better when the stock develops a strong trend, but they are ineffective when the stock is in a trading range. Moving average crossover systems can be effective, but should be used in conjunction with trend patterns, momentum indicators, candlesticks and other aspects of technical analysis. Use the following links to access Moving Average Crossover trading technique, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the Moving Average close to the price level.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 55.98
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 7.30
Strong Overbought
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 69.46
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 72.70
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 2.44
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 68.08
Bearish
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 1.90
Strong Overbought
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 78.16
Bearish
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 78.23
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 12.79 Bearish
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Monthly Trendline Resistance 321.22
Quarterly Trendline Resistance 315.97
Upper Bollinger Band 304.96
Monthly Trendline Support 302.88
Daily Stochastic Crossing 300.99
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 300.54
20 Day Moving Average 295.06
Price 294.38
Parabolic System 294.02
50 Day Moving Average 292.79
Lower Bollinger Band 287.16
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector Financials 11
Industry Diversified Banks 101
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Low 284.71
Low Date 08/08/2025
High 305.15
High Date 09/05/2025
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 284.24
Low Date 08/01/2025
High 305.15
High Date 09/05/2025
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Rising Channel
Status Broken Support
Resistance 321.22
Support 302.88
Low 202.20
Low Date 04/07/2025
High 305.15
High Date 09/05/2025
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Broadening Ascending Wedge
Status Valid
Resistance 315.97
Support 219.23
Low 101.28
Low Date 10/12/2022
High 305.15
High Date 09/05/2025
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Broadening Ascending Wedge
Status Broken Resistance
Resistance 234.56
Support 107.19
Low 14.96
Low Date 03/06/2009
High 305.15
High Date 09/05/2025
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.