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Uptrend Exhaustion

Uptrend Exhaustion stock alert presents a technical analysis stock market picking technique based on combination of technical indicators, stock trend analysis, trend following indicators and pattern recognition. Stock market alert is a warning signal. Uptrend Exhaustion alert indicates that long term uptrend is exhausted and probability of long term trend reversal is high. Uptrend exhaustion stock market alert presents relatively low to medium risk - high reword stock pick for overvalued stocks.

The strategy is based on selling (or taking a short) position on anticipation of uptrend reversal.

Uptrend Exhaustion

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- 10/17/2025 -
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J.P. Morgan Chase & Co. (JPM) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Stochastic signal line moved below overbought areaWeekly  MACD line has moved below its signal lineBroken trend resistance line
Daily :Stochastic signal line moved above oversold area
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It was the negative week for the J.P. Morgan Chase & Co. (JPM). During the week, the JPM dropped -3.33 points, or -1.11%, and closed at 297.56 on Friday, October 17, 2025. Weekly volume was 29% above average.

Long-term trend: [See JPM long-term trend chart]
A long-term uptrend had started on March 6, 2009 at 14.96 and reached 318.01 on September 29, 2025. JPM gained -303.05 points, or -2025.74%, in 864 weeks. The chart has formed a Broadening Ascending Wedge chart pattern. The uptrend resistance line (107.87) is broken. Usually a broken resistance is considered to be a long-term bullish signal, although a short-term pull back is possible. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend resistance line in a long-term trend.

Medium-term trend: [See JPM medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term uptrend had started on October 12, 2022 at 101.28 and reached 318.01 on September 29, 2025. JPM gained -216.73 points, or -213.99%, in 154 weeks. The chart has formed a Broadening Ascending Wedge chart pattern. The trend support level is at 224.03 and resistance is at 324.30. A Broadening Ascending Wedge pattern is considered to be a reversal formation. It usually appears in a mature trend, characterized by overbought/oversold long-term and short-term indicators, and often generates divergence on long-term indicators. Use the following link to access a Broadening Ascending Wedge chart pattern help, or use a Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with Broadening Ascending Wedge pattern in a medium-term trend.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See JPM weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly technical indicators are neutral. During the last week, weekly Lane's Stochastic signal line (%D) has moved below overbought area. Such crossover is considered a bearish signal. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following link to access Lane's Stochastic help.

During the last week, weekly MACD line has moved below its signal line. Such crossover is considered a bearish signal. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See JPM short-term trend chart]
A short-term downtrend had started on September 29, 2025 at 318.01 and reached 294.20 on October 17, 2025. JPM lost 23.81 points, or 7.49%, in 18 days. The price is now at the 14.11% retracement level.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See JPM daily technical indicators chart]
Daily technical indicators are neutral. During the last week, daily Lane's Stochastic signal line (%D) has moved above oversold area. Such crossover is considered a bullish signal.

The daily MACD line is below its signal line since September 30, 2025. This is an indication that the short-term trend is down. The distance between MACD and the signal line is relatively high, but getting smaller. It indicates that the current short-term downtrend is still strong, and momentum is beginning to wane.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 30.90
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 79.20
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 40.77
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 30.84
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 0.67
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 56.56
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 32.70
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 76.11
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 64.59
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 14.20
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Quarterly Trendline Resistance 324.30
Upper Bollinger Band 316.33
Parabolic System 312.43
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 309.93
20 Day Moving Average 308.33
50 Day Moving Average 302.59
Daily Stochastic Crossing 301.01
Price 297.56
Lower Bollinger Band 294.37
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector Financials 7
Industry Diversified Banks 97
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
High 312.12
High Date 10/15/2025
Low 294.20
Low Date 10/17/2025
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 318.01
High Date 09/29/2025
Low 294.20
Low Date 10/17/2025
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 202.20
Low Date 04/07/2025
High 318.01
High Date 09/29/2025
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Broadening Ascending Wedge
Status Valid
Resistance 324.30
Support 224.03
Low 101.28
Low Date 10/12/2022
High 318.01
High Date 09/29/2025
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Broadening Ascending Wedge
Status Broken Resistance
Resistance 236.50
Support 107.87
Low 14.96
Low Date 03/06/2009
High 318.01
High Date 09/29/2025
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.