The Greedy Trader Weekly Analysis
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- 1/16/2026 -
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AvalonBay Communities (AVB) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Broken trend support lineTrend support at 181.95
Daily :The price has risen above the Parabolic SARPrice is near the Fibonacci 61.8% retracement levelThe price moved above the moving average in the center of the Bollinger Bands
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It was a first positive week for the AvalonBay Communities (AVB). During the week, the AVB gained 3.05 points, or 1.70%, and closed at 182.42 on Friday, January 16, 2026. Weekly volume was 31% above average.

Long-term trend: [See AVB long-term trend chart]
A long-term uptrend had started on March 6, 2009 at 38.34 and reached 259.05 on March 29, 2022. AVB gained -220.71 points, or -575.67%, in 681 weeks. The chart has formed a Rising Channel chart pattern. The uptrend support line (243.92) is broken. A broken support is considered to be a long-term bearish signal. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend support in a long-term trend.

Medium-term trend: [See AVB medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term uptrend had started on October 30, 2025 at 166.73 and reached 186.77 on January 7, 2026. AVB gained -20.04 points, or -12.02%, in 9 weeks. The chart has formed a Rising Wedge chart pattern. The price is near the trend support (181.95) line. The support is usually stronger when technical indicators are oversold. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with price testing the trend support line in a medium-term trend.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See AVB weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly technical indicators are neutral.

The weekly MACD line is above its signal line since December 19, 2025. This is an indication that the medium-term trend is up. The distance between MACD and the signal line is low, but getting bigger. It indicates that the current medium-term uptrend is getting stronger. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See AVB short-term trend chart]
A short-term downtrend had started on January 7, 2026 at 186.77 and reached 175.00 on January 13, 2026. AVB lost 11.77 points, or 6.30%, in 6 days. Price is near the Fibonacci 61.8% retracement level. The Fibonacci retracement level is considered a support/resistance level.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See AVB daily technical indicators chart]
Daily technical indicators are neutral.

The daily MACD line is below its signal line since January 8, 2026. This is an indication that the short-term trend is down. The distance between MACD and the signal line is low and getting smaller. It indicates that the current short-term downtrend is getting weak.

During the last week, the price has risen above the Parabolic SAR (stop and reversal). A Parabolic SAR below the price is a bullish signal, and it indicates that momentum is likely to remain in the upward direction. A Parabolic SAR is used as a trailing stop loss for long or short positions. It works best during strong trending periods. Use the following links to access Parabolic SAR Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the Parabolic SAR close to the price level.

During the last week, the price has moved above the moving average in the center of the Bollinger Bands. The Bollinger Bands are often used with a non-oscillator indicator like chart patterns or a trendline. The signals are considered more reliable if these indicators confirm the recommendation of the Bollinger Bands. Use the following links to access the Bollinger Bands Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the price above the Upper Bollinger Band or below the Lower Bollinger Band.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 48.61
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 56.20
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 38.70
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 43.69
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 0.23
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 47.74
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 57.50
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 58.67
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 49.56
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) -5.91
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Monthly Trendline Resistance 187.56
Upper Bollinger Band 184.59
Price 182.42
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 181.97
Monthly Trendline Support 181.95
20 Day Moving Average 181.45
Daily Stochastic Crossing 180.55
50 Day Moving Average 179.62
Lower Bollinger Band 176.95
Parabolic System 174.82
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector Real Estate 4
Industry REIT - Residential 43
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Low 175.00
Low Date 01/13/2026
High 183.00
High Date 01/16/2026
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 186.77
High Date 01/07/2026
Low 175.00
Low Date 01/13/2026
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Rising Wedge
Status Test Support
Resistance 187.56
Support 181.95
Low 166.73
Low Date 10/30/2025
High 186.77
High Date 01/07/2026
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 239.30
High Date 11/27/2024
Low 166.73
Low Date 10/30/2025
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Rising Channel
Status Broken Support
Resistance 303.63
Support 243.92
Low 38.34
Low Date 03/06/2009
High 259.05
High Date 03/29/2022
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.