The Greedy Trader Weekly Analysis
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- 6/27/2025 -
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AvalonBay Communities (AVB) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Broken trend support line
Daily :Broken trend support lineDaily  MACD line has moved below its signal lineThe price has fallen below the Parabolic SARPrice has crossed below the 50 Day Moving AverageThe price has declined below the moving average in the center of the Bollinger BandsThe Bollinger Bands are historically close together
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It was the negative week for the AvalonBay Communities (AVB). During the week, the AVB dropped -2.63 points, or -1.27%, and closed at 204.38 on Friday, June 27, 2025. Weekly volume was 79% above average.

Long-term trend: [See AVB long-term trend chart]
A long-term uptrend had started on March 6, 2009 at 38.34 and reached 259.05 on March 29, 2022. AVB gained -220.71 points, or -575.67%, in 681 weeks. The chart has formed a Rising Channel chart pattern. The uptrend support line (237.45) is broken. A broken support is considered to be a long-term bearish signal. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend support in a long-term trend.

Medium-term trend: [See AVB medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term uptrend had started on March 24, 2023 at 153.07 and reached 239.30 on November 27, 2024. AVB gained -86.23 points, or -56.33%, in 87 weeks. The chart has formed a Broadening Ascending Wedge chart pattern. The trend support level is at 180.73 and resistance is at 256.34. A Broadening Ascending Wedge pattern is considered to be a reversal formation. It usually appears in a mature trend, characterized by overbought/oversold long-term and short-term indicators, and often generates divergence on long-term indicators. Use the following link to access a Broadening Ascending Wedge chart pattern help, or use a Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with Broadening Ascending Wedge pattern in a medium-term trend.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See AVB weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly technical indicators are neutral.

The weekly MACD line is below its signal line since October 18, 2024. The distance between MACD and the signal line is low and getting smaller. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See AVB short-term trend chart]
A short-term uptrend had started on April 9, 2025 at 180.40 and reached 213.34 on May 2, 2025. AVB gained -32.94 points, or -18.26%, in 23 days. The chart has formed a Symmetric Triangle chart pattern. The uptrend support line (208.99) is broken. A broken support is considered to be a long-term bearish signal. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend support in a short-term trend.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See AVB daily technical indicators chart]
Daily technical indicators are neutral.

During the last week, daily MACD line has moved below its signal line. Such crossover is considered a bearish signal.

During the last week, the price has fallen below the Parabolic SAR (stop and reversal). A Parabolic SAR above the price is a bearish signal, and it indicates that momentum is likely to remain in the downward direction. A Parabolic SAR is used as a trailing stop loss for long or short positions. It works best during strong trending periods. Use the following links to access Parabolic SAR Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the Parabolic SAR close to the price level.

During the last week, the price has declined below the moving average in the center of the Bollinger Bands. The distance between the Bollinger Bands (3.72%) is close to one year low (3.49%). It is 52.07% lower than one year average. It indicates the period of low volatility of the stock price, and it is considered a buy signal for the option traders. The Bollinger Bands are often used with a non-oscillator indicator like chart patterns or a trendline. The signals are considered more reliable if these indicators confirm the recommendation of the Bollinger Bands. Use the following links to access the Bollinger Bands Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the price above the Upper Bollinger Band or below the Lower Bollinger Band.

During the last week, the price has crossed below the 50 Day Moving Average. Such crossover is considered a bearish signal. The moving average crossover signals work better when the stock develops a strong trend, but they are ineffective when the stock is in a trading range. Moving average crossover systems can be effective, but should be used in conjunction with trend patterns, momentum indicators, candlesticks and other aspects of technical analysis. Use the following links to access Moving Average Crossover trading technique, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the Moving Average close to the price level.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 52.55
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 59.00
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 33.38
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 42.31
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 0.10
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 46.91
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 51.30
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 63.63
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 53.01
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) -2.98
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Yearly Trendline Support 237.45
Monthly Trendline Resistance 218.64
Parabolic System 209.71
Weekly Trendline Resistance 209.45
Upper Bollinger Band 209.21
Weekly Trendline Support 208.99
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 207.60
20 Day Moving Average 205.78
50 Day Moving Average 205.66
Price 204.38
Daily Stochastic Crossing 203.38
Lower Bollinger Band 201.62
Quarterly Trendline Support 180.73
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector Real Estate 5
Industry REIT - Residential 52
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
High 209.86
High Date 06/23/2025
Low 201.01
Low Date 06/25/2025
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Symmetric Triangle
Status Broken Support
Resistance 209.45
Support 208.99
Low 180.40
Low Date 04/09/2025
High 213.34
High Date 05/02/2025
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern Broadening Descending Wedge
Status Valid
Resistance 218.64
Support 155.23
High 239.30
High Date 11/27/2024
Low 180.40
Low Date 04/09/2025
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Broadening Ascending Wedge
Status Valid
Resistance 256.34
Support 180.73
Low 153.07
Low Date 03/24/2023
High 239.30
High Date 11/27/2024
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Rising Channel
Status Broken Support
Resistance 297.17
Support 237.45
Low 38.34
Low Date 03/06/2009
High 259.05
High Date 03/29/2022
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.