The Greedy Trader Weekly Analysis
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- 3/20/2026 -
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AvalonBay Communities (AVB) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Overbought sectorWeekly  MACD line has moved below its signal lineWilliams' Percentage Range is oversoldBroken trend support line
Daily :The price is below the lower Bollinger BandBroken trend support line - Downtrend exhaustionRelative Strength Index and Williams' Percentage Range oversoldLane's Stochastic is strongly oversold
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It was the negative week for the AvalonBay Communities (AVB). During the week, the AVB dropped -7.59 points, or -4.49%, and closed at 161.37 on Friday, March 20, 2026. Weekly volume was 30% above average.

AVB is a member of Real Estate Sector. Real Estate is the most overbought sector. Sector/industry rotation is considered a proven strategy to beat the market. Use the following links to find overbought/oversold technical indicators by Sector or by Industry.

Long-term trend: [See AVB long-term trend chart]
A long-term uptrend had started on March 6, 2009 at 38.34 and reached 259.05 on March 29, 2022. AVB gained -220.71 points, or -575.67%, in 681 weeks. The chart has formed a Rising Channel chart pattern. The uptrend support line (245.91) is broken. Usually a broken support is considered to be a long-term bearish signal, but since daily indicators are oversold a short-term pull back is possible. AVB may retest the broken support line. It is considered to be a resistance line now. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend support in a long-term trend.

Medium-term trend: [See AVB medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term downtrend had started on January 7, 2026 at 186.77 and reached 160.72 on March 20, 2026. AVB lost 26.05 points, or 13.95%, in 10 weeks. Price is near the trend low.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See AVB weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly Williams' Percentage Range is oversold. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with weekly oversold Williams' Percentage Range. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following link to access Williams' Percentage Range help.

During the last week, weekly MACD line has moved below its signal line. Such crossover is considered a bearish signal. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See AVB short-term trend chart]
A short-term downtrend had started on February 11, 2026 at 181.18 and reached 160.72 on March 20, 2026. AVB lost 20.46 points, or 11.29%, in 37 days. The chart has formed a Symmetric Triangle chart pattern. The downtrend support line (175.92) is broken, while daily and weekly technical indicators are oversold. Downtrend is exhausted and trend reversal is possible soon. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend support in a short-term trend.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See AVB daily technical indicators chart]
Daily Relative Strength Index and Williams' Percentage Range are oversold while Lane's Stochastic is strongly oversold. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with oversold daily Relative Strength Index and Williams' Percentage Range or strongly oversold daily Lane's Stochastic. Use the following links to access Lane's Stochastic and Relative Strength Index help.

The daily MACD line is below its signal line since March 9, 2026. This is an indication that the short-term trend is down. The distance between MACD and the signal line is near its high and getting bigger. It indicates that the current short-term downtrend is strong.

The price has closed on Friday below the lower Bollinger Band. It is considered a bearish signal. The Bollinger Bands are often used with a non-oscillator indicator like chart patterns or a trendline. The signals are considered more reliable if these indicators confirm the recommendation of the Bollinger Bands. Use the following links to access the Bollinger Bands Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the price above the Upper Bollinger Band or below the Lower Bollinger Band.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 14.44
Oversold
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 80.50
Oversold
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 6.55
Strong Oversold
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 13.48
Oversold
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) -1.86
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 31.82
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 86.80
Oversold
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 35.33
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 29.88
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) -4.89
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Upper Bollinger Band 182.54
Weekly Trendline Resistance 178.03
Weekly Trendline Support 175.92
50 Day Moving Average 175.90
20 Day Moving Average 173.81
Parabolic System 173.25
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 167.38
Daily Stochastic Crossing 161.65
Lower Bollinger Band 161.47
Price 161.37
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector Real Estate 9
Industry REIT - Residential 28
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
High 171.66
High Date 03/16/2026
Low 160.72
Low Date 03/20/2026
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern Symmetric Triangle
Status Broken Support
Resistance 178.03
Support 175.92
High 181.18
High Date 02/11/2026
Low 160.72
Low Date 03/20/2026
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 186.77
High Date 01/07/2026
Low 160.72
Low Date 03/20/2026
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 239.30
High Date 11/27/2024
Low 160.72
Low Date 03/20/2026
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Rising Channel
Status Broken Support
Resistance 305.62
Support 245.91
Low 38.34
Low Date 03/06/2009
High 259.05
High Date 03/29/2022
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.