The Greedy Trader Weekly Analysis
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- 3/13/2026 -
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AvalonBay Communities (AVB) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Overbought sectorBroken trend support line
Daily :Broken trend support lineDaily  MACD line has moved below its signal lineThe price has fallen below the Parabolic SARThe price is below the lower Bollinger Band
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It was the negative week for the AvalonBay Communities (AVB). During the week, the AVB dropped -8.93 points, or -5.02%, and closed at 168.96 on Friday, March 13, 2026. It was the worst weekly loss since October 31, 2025. Weekly volume was 7% above average.

AVB is a member of Real Estate Sector. Real Estate is the most overbought sector. Sector/industry rotation is considered a proven strategy to beat the market. Use the following links to find overbought/oversold technical indicators by Sector or by Industry.

Long-term trend: [See AVB long-term trend chart]
A long-term uptrend had started on March 6, 2009 at 38.34 and reached 259.05 on March 29, 2022. AVB gained -220.71 points, or -575.67%, in 681 weeks. The chart has formed a Rising Channel chart pattern. The uptrend support line (245.68) is broken. A broken support is considered to be a long-term bearish signal. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend support in a long-term trend.

Medium-term trend: [See AVB medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term downtrend had started on January 7, 2026 at 186.77 and reached 168.68 on March 13, 2026. AVB lost 18.09 points, or 9.69%, in 9 weeks. Price is near the trend low.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See AVB weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly technical indicators are neutral.

The weekly MACD line is above its signal line since December 19, 2025. The distance between MACD and the signal line is low and getting smaller. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See AVB short-term trend chart]
A short-term downtrend had started on February 11, 2026 at 181.18 and reached 168.68 on March 13, 2026. AVB lost 12.50 points, or 6.90%, in 30 days. The chart has formed a Falling Channel chart pattern. The downtrend support line (173.00) is broken. Usually a broken support is considered to be a long-term bearish signal, although a short-term pull back is possible. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend support in a short-term trend.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See AVB daily technical indicators chart]
Daily technical indicators are neutral.

During the last week, daily MACD line has moved below its signal line. Such crossover is considered a bearish signal.

During the last week, the price has fallen below the Parabolic SAR (stop and reversal). A Parabolic SAR above the price is a bearish signal, and it indicates that momentum is likely to remain in the downward direction. A Parabolic SAR is used as a trailing stop loss for long or short positions. It works best during strong trending periods. Use the following links to access Parabolic SAR Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the Parabolic SAR close to the price level.

The price has closed on Friday below the lower Bollinger Band. It is considered a bearish signal. The Bollinger Bands are often used with a non-oscillator indicator like chart patterns or a trendline. The signals are considered more reliable if these indicators confirm the recommendation of the Bollinger Bands. Use the following links to access the Bollinger Bands Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the price above the Upper Bollinger Band or below the Lower Bollinger Band.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 32.81
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 61.20
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 20.81
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 30.81
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) -0.49
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 37.50
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 73.40
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 42.32
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 38.41
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) -4.92
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Upper Bollinger Band 181.15
Parabolic System 179.62
Weekly Trendline Resistance 178.40
50 Day Moving Average 177.36
20 Day Moving Average 176.53
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 174.83
Weekly Trendline Support 173.00
Lower Bollinger Band 170.10
Daily Stochastic Crossing 170.07
Price 168.96
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector Real Estate 9
Industry REIT - Residential 41
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
High 179.33
High Date 03/05/2026
Low 168.68
Low Date 03/13/2026
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern Falling Channel
Status Broken Support
Resistance 178.40
Support 173.00
High 181.18
High Date 02/11/2026
Low 168.68
Low Date 03/13/2026
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 186.77
High Date 01/07/2026
Low 168.68
Low Date 03/13/2026
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 239.30
High Date 11/27/2024
Low 166.73
Low Date 10/30/2025
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Rising Channel
Status Broken Support
Resistance 305.39
Support 245.68
Low 38.34
Low Date 03/06/2009
High 259.05
High Date 03/29/2022
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.