The Greedy Trader Weekly Analysis
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- 2/6/2026 -
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AvalonBay Communities (AVB) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Williams' Percentage Range is oversoldBroken trend support line
Daily :Williams' Percentage Range is oversoldBullish Piercing Line Candlestick
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It was the negative week for the AvalonBay Communities (AVB). During the week, the AVB dropped -3.84 points, or -2.16%, and closed at 173.83 on Friday, February 6, 2026. It was the worst weekly loss since December 5, 2025. Weekly volume was 66% above average.

Long-term trend: [See AVB long-term trend chart]
A long-term uptrend had started on March 6, 2009 at 38.34 and reached 259.05 on March 29, 2022. AVB gained -220.71 points, or -575.67%, in 681 weeks. The chart has formed a Rising Channel chart pattern. The uptrend support line (244.57) is broken. Usually a broken support is considered to be a long-term bearish signal, but since daily indicators are oversold a short-term pull back is possible. AVB may retest the broken support line. It is considered to be a resistance line now. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend support in a long-term trend.

Medium-term trend: [See AVB medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term downtrend had started on January 7, 2026 at 186.77 and reached 168.83 on February 5, 2026. AVB lost 17.94 points, or 9.61%, in 4 weeks. The chart has formed a Falling Wedge chart pattern. The trend support level is at 168.44 and resistance is at 175.46. A Falling Wedge is a triangle formation with a noticeable slant to the downside. It represents the loss of a downside momentum on each successive low and has a bullish bias. The Falling wedge usually marks a reversal in a downtrend. In an uptrend a falling wedge is considered to be a continuation pattern. Use the following link to access a Falling Wedge chart pattern help, or use a Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with Falling Wedge pattern in a medium-term trend.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See AVB weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly Williams' Percentage Range is strongly oversold. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with weekly strongly oversold Williams' Percentage Range. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following link to access Williams' Percentage Range help.

The weekly MACD line is above its signal line since December 19, 2025. The distance between MACD and the signal line is low and getting smaller. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See AVB short-term trend chart]
A short-term uptrend had started on February 5, 2026 at 168.83 and reached 173.94 on February 6, 2026. AVB gained -5.11 points, or -3.03%, in 1 days. Price is near the trend high.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See AVB daily technical indicators chart]
Daily Williams' Percentage Range is strongly oversold. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with daily strongly oversold Williams' Percentage Range.

The daily MACD line is below its signal line since January 8, 2026.

Candlestick pattern: [See AVB candlestick chart pattern]
On Friday the chart has formed a Bullish Piercing Line Candlestick pattern. This pattern suggests bulls have begun to take charge of the market, and shorts have been shaken by the sudden lost of bearish momentum. The reliability of the Bullish Piercing Line pattern is moderate. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks that had a Bullish Piercing Line Candlestick pattern during the last week.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 39.45
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 95.40
Strong Oversold
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 37.39
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 27.14
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) -1.32
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 49.87
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 90.20
Strong Oversold
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 39.00
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 32.49
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) -5.53
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Upper Bollinger Band 182.57
Parabolic System 180.09
50 Day Moving Average 179.09
20 Day Moving Average 177.09
Monthly Trendline Resistance 175.46
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 174.30
Price 173.83
Daily Stochastic Crossing 173.41
Lower Bollinger Band 170.85
Monthly Trendline Support 168.44
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector Real Estate 4
Industry REIT - Residential 28
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Low 168.83
Low Date 02/05/2026
High 173.94
High Date 02/06/2026
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 168.83
Low Date 02/05/2026
High 173.94
High Date 02/06/2026
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern Falling Wedge
Status Valid
Resistance 175.46
Support 168.44
High 186.77
High Date 01/07/2026
Low 168.83
Low Date 02/05/2026
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 239.30
High Date 11/27/2024
Low 166.73
Low Date 10/30/2025
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Rising Channel
Status Broken Support
Resistance 304.28
Support 244.57
Low 38.34
Low Date 03/06/2009
High 259.05
High Date 03/29/2022
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.