The Greedy Trader Weekly Analysis
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- 7/10/2026 -
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AvalonBay Communities (AVB) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Overbought sectorBroken trend support lineLane's Stochastic and MACD bearish divergenceBroken trend resistance line
Daily :Stochastic has declined below the signal line
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It was the negative week for the AvalonBay Communities (AVB). During the week, the AVB dropped -2.12 points, or -1.09%, and closed at 191.84 on Friday, July 10, 2026. Weekly volume was -17% below average.

AVB is a member of Real Estate Sector. Real Estate is the most overbought sector. Sector/industry rotation is considered a proven strategy to beat the market. Use the following links to find overbought/oversold technical indicators by Sector or by Industry.

Long-term trend: [See AVB long-term trend chart]
A long-term uptrend had started on March 6, 2009 at 38.34 and reached 259.05 on March 29, 2022. AVB gained -220.71 points, or -575.67%, in 681 weeks. The chart has formed a Rising Channel chart pattern. The uptrend support line (249.42) is broken. A broken support is considered to be a long-term bearish signal. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend support in a long-term trend.

Medium-term trend: [See AVB medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term downtrend had started on November 27, 2024 at 239.30 and reached 160.10 on March 31, 2026. AVB lost 79.20 points, or 33.10%, in 69 weeks. The chart has formed a Falling Wedge chart pattern. The downtrend resistance line (153.56) is broken. A broken support is considered to be a long-term bullish signal. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend resistance line in a medium-term trend.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See AVB weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly technical indicators are neutral. Weekly Lane's Stochastic and MACD have bearish divergence. Use the following links to access the Lane's Stochastic and MACD help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with weekly Lane's Stochastic and MACD bearish divergence. The divergence between price and indicator is considering one of the most important buy/sell stocks trading signal. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following link to access Lane's Stochastic help.

The weekly MACD line is above its signal line since April 17, 2026. The distance between MACD and the signal line is relatively high and getting bigger. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See AVB short-term trend chart]
A short-term uptrend had started on June 22, 2026 at 176.13 and reached 198.63 on July 7, 2026. AVB gained -22.50 points, or -12.77%, in 15 days. The price is now at the 30.18% retracement level.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See AVB daily technical indicators chart]
Daily technical indicators are neutral. During the last week, daily Lane's Stochastic main line (%K) has declined below the overbought signal line (%D). Such crossover is considered a bearish signal.

The daily MACD line is above its signal line since June 25, 2026. This is an indication that the short-term trend is up. The distance between MACD and the signal line is low and getting smaller. It indicates that the current short-term uptrend is getting weak.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 70.77
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 37.20
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 54.68
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 62.73
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 1.92
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 68.28
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 21.70
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 76.46
Bearish
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 71.04
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) -0.18 Bearish
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Upper Bollinger Band 198.69
Monthly Trendline Resistance 193.90
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 192.59
Daily Stochastic Crossing 192.19
Price 191.84
Parabolic System 189.46
20 Day Moving Average 187.27
50 Day Moving Average 186.00
Lower Bollinger Band 178.42
Monthly Trendline Support 174.23
Quarterly Trendline Resistance 162.75
Quarterly Trendline Support 153.56
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector Real Estate 11
Industry REIT - Residential 77
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
High 198.63
High Date 07/07/2026
Low 188.85
Low Date 07/08/2026
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 176.13
Low Date 06/22/2026
High 198.63
High Date 07/07/2026
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Broadening Symmetric Wedge
Status Valid
Resistance 193.90
Support 174.23
Low 160.10
Low Date 03/31/2026
High 198.63
High Date 07/07/2026
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern Falling Wedge
Status Broken Resistance
Resistance 162.75
Support 153.56
High 239.30
High Date 11/27/2024
Low 160.10
Low Date 03/31/2026
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Rising Channel
Status Broken Support
Resistance 309.13
Support 249.42
Low 38.34
Low Date 03/06/2009
High 259.05
High Date 03/29/2022
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.