The Greedy Trader Weekly Analysis
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- 9/5/2025 -
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AvalonBay Communities (AVB) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Broken trend support line
Daily :MACD bearish divergencePrice is close to the 50 Day Moving Average
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It was the negative week for the AvalonBay Communities (AVB). During the week, the AVB gave back -0.44 points, or -0.22%, and closed at 195.41 on Friday, September 5, 2025. Weekly volume was -7% below average.

Long-term trend: [See AVB long-term trend chart]
A long-term uptrend had started on March 6, 2009 at 38.34 and reached 259.05 on March 29, 2022. AVB gained -220.71 points, or -575.67%, in 681 weeks. The chart has formed a Rising Channel chart pattern. The uptrend support line (239.67) is broken. A broken support is considered to be a long-term bearish signal. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend support in a long-term trend.

Medium-term trend: [See AVB medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term uptrend had started on March 24, 2023 at 153.07 and reached 239.30 on November 27, 2024. AVB gained -86.23 points, or -56.33%, in 87 weeks. The chart has formed a Broadening Ascending Wedge chart pattern. The trend support level is at 183.08 and resistance is at 262.06. A Broadening Ascending Wedge pattern is considered to be a reversal formation. It usually appears in a mature trend, characterized by overbought/oversold long-term and short-term indicators, and often generates divergence on long-term indicators. Use the following link to access a Broadening Ascending Wedge chart pattern help, or use a Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with Broadening Ascending Wedge pattern in a medium-term trend.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See AVB weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly technical indicators are neutral.

The weekly MACD line is below its signal line since October 18, 2024. The distance between MACD and the signal line is low and getting smaller. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See AVB short-term trend chart]
A short-term downtrend had started on May 2, 2025 at 213.34 and reached 181.23 on August 1, 2025. AVB lost 32.11 points, or 15.05%, in 91 days. The chart has formed a Broadening Descending Wedge chart pattern. The trend support level is at 173.27 and resistance is at 204.55. Use the following link to access a Broadening Descending Wedge chart pattern help, or use a Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with Broadening Descending Wedge pattern in a short-term trend.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See AVB daily technical indicators chart]
Daily technical indicators are neutral. Daily MACD has bearish divergence. Use the following links to access the MACD help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with daily MACD bearish divergence. The divergence between price and indicator is considering one of the most important buy/sell stocks trading signal. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals.

The daily MACD line is above its signal line since August 13, 2025. The distance between MACD and the signal line is low and getting smaller.

Price is close to the 50 Day Moving Average. The moving average crossover signals work better when the stock develops a strong trend, but they are ineffective when the stock is in a trading range. Moving average crossover systems can be effective, but should be used in conjunction with trend patterns, momentum indicators, candlesticks and other aspects of technical analysis. Use the following links to access Moving Average Crossover trading technique, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the Moving Average close to the price level.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 58.50
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 23.20
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 54.38
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 63.21
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) -0.98 Bearish
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 36.92
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 60.40
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 32.40
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 38.84
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) -4.74
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Weekly Trendline Resistance 204.55
Upper Bollinger Band 198.19
50 Day Moving Average 195.66
Price 195.41
Daily Stochastic Crossing 192.08
20 Day Moving Average 191.06
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 189.94
Parabolic System 188.00
Lower Bollinger Band 186.79
Quarterly Trendline Support 183.08
Weekly Trendline Support 173.27
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector Real Estate 3
Industry REIT - Residential 12
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Rising Channel
Low 181.23
Low Date 08/01/2025
High 196.85
High Date 09/05/2025
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern Broadening Descending Wedge
Status Valid
Resistance 204.55
Support 173.27
High 213.34
High Date 05/02/2025
Low 181.23
Low Date 08/01/2025
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 239.30
High Date 11/27/2024
Low 180.40
Low Date 04/09/2025
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Broadening Ascending Wedge
Status Valid
Resistance 262.06
Support 183.08
Low 153.07
Low Date 03/24/2023
High 239.30
High Date 11/27/2024
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Rising Channel
Status Broken Support
Resistance 299.39
Support 239.67
Low 38.34
Low Date 03/06/2009
High 259.05
High Date 03/29/2022
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.