The Greedy Trader Weekly Analysis
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- 12/19/2025 -
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AvalonBay Communities (AVB) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Broken trend support lineOversold sector
Daily :Daily  MACD line has moved above its signal lineThe price has risen above the Parabolic SARThe price moved above the moving average in the center of the Bollinger BandsPrice is close to the 50 Day Moving Average
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It was a first positive week for the AvalonBay Communities (AVB). During the week, the AVB gained 2.23 points, or 1.26%, and closed at 179.13 on Friday, December 19, 2025. Weekly volume was 48% above average.

AVB is a member of Real Estate Sector. Real Estate is the second most oversold sector. Sector/industry rotation is considered a proven strategy to beat the market. Use the following links to find overbought/oversold technical indicators by Sector or by Industry.

Long-term trend: [See AVB long-term trend chart]
A long-term uptrend had started on March 6, 2009 at 38.34 and reached 259.05 on March 29, 2022. AVB gained -220.71 points, or -575.67%, in 681 weeks. The chart has formed a Rising Channel chart pattern. The uptrend support line (243.09) is broken. A broken support is considered to be a long-term bearish signal. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend support in a long-term trend.

Medium-term trend: [See AVB medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term downtrend had started on May 2, 2025 at 213.34 and reached 166.73 on October 30, 2025. AVB lost 46.61 points, or 21.85%, in 25 weeks. The price is now at the 26.60% retracement level.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See AVB weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly technical indicators are neutral.

The weekly MACD line is below its signal line since October 3, 2025. This is an indication that the medium-term trend is down. The distance between MACD and the signal line is low and getting smaller. It indicates that the current medium-term downtrend is getting weak. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See AVB short-term trend chart]
A short-term uptrend had started on December 8, 2025 at 174.20 and reached 182.94 on December 18, 2025. AVB gained -8.74 points, or -5.02%, in 10 days. The price is now at the 43.59% retracement level.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See AVB daily technical indicators chart]
Daily technical indicators are neutral.

During the last week, daily MACD line has moved above its signal line. Such crossover is considered a bullish signal.

During the last week, the price has risen above the Parabolic SAR (stop and reversal). A Parabolic SAR below the price is a bullish signal, and it indicates that momentum is likely to remain in the upward direction. A Parabolic SAR is used as a trailing stop loss for long or short positions. It works best during strong trending periods. Use the following links to access Parabolic SAR Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the Parabolic SAR close to the price level.

During the last week, the price has moved above the moving average in the center of the Bollinger Bands. The Bollinger Bands are often used with a non-oscillator indicator like chart patterns or a trendline. The signals are considered more reliable if these indicators confirm the recommendation of the Bollinger Bands. Use the following links to access the Bollinger Bands Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the price above the Upper Bollinger Band or below the Lower Bollinger Band.

Price is close to the 50 Day Moving Average. The moving average crossover signals work better when the stock develops a strong trend, but they are ineffective when the stock is in a trading range. Moving average crossover systems can be effective, but should be used in conjunction with trend patterns, momentum indicators, candlesticks and other aspects of technical analysis. Use the following links to access Moving Average Crossover trading technique, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the Moving Average close to the price level.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 48.58
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 30.50
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 59.62
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 59.22
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) -0.75
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 34.02
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 55.60
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 45.92
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 44.14
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) -6.35
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Upper Bollinger Band 183.18
50 Day Moving Average 180.27
Daily Stochastic Crossing 179.99
20 Day Moving Average 179.25
Price 179.13
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 178.33
Parabolic System 174.72
Lower Bollinger Band 174.66
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector Real Estate 2
Industry REIT - Residential 43
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Low 174.20
Low Date 12/08/2025
High 182.94
High Date 12/18/2025
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 183.60
High Date 11/25/2025
Low 174.20
Low Date 12/08/2025
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 213.34
High Date 05/02/2025
Low 166.73
Low Date 10/30/2025
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 239.30
High Date 11/27/2024
Low 166.73
Low Date 10/30/2025
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Rising Channel
Status Broken Support
Resistance 302.80
Support 243.09
Low 38.34
Low Date 03/06/2009
High 259.05
High Date 03/29/2022
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.