The Greedy Trader Weekly Analysis
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Monthly Pattern:Rising Pennant
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Chart Analysis and Chart Pattern Recognition – Bear Flag, Bull Flag, Bearish Pennant and Bullish Pennant.


Bear flag, bull flag, bearish pennant and bullish pennant chart patterns represent brief pauses after sharp moves in a dynamic market. They are considered as most reliable continuation patterns. Flags are characterized as short-term channels slanting against the main trend. Pennants represent short-term triangle formations. Volume is heavy during the sharp move preceding the formation.
Trading technique:
# 1 Flags and pennants present an additional opportunity to enter the dynamic market.
Tips:
# 1
Usually flags and pennants represent short-term pauses technically required to reset overbought/oversold technical indicators and allow further movement. They likely to appear at earlier stages of the larger patterns, when short-term technical indicators are grossly overbought/oversold, but long-term indicators are in the middle range. In a situation when both long and short-term indicators are overbought (oversold), flags and pennants have more chances to become the beginning of a larger formation. Flags and pennants are considered invalid as soon as they break the parent's formation trend line.
# 2 As a continuation pattern, rectangle usually appears within a young trend characterized by neutral long-term indicators and overbought/oversold short-term indicators. Rectangle resets daily CTI to neutral and then continues the movement in parent's direction.
# 3 For the best results, chart patterns should be considered together with other technical analysis signals and technical trading techniques.
Estimated Target: projected support/resistance level of larger trend.

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- 4/5/2024 -
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Air Products & Chemicals (APD) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Overbought sectorBroken trend support line
Daily :Daily  MACD line has moved below its signal lineThe price has fallen below the Parabolic SARWilliams' Percentage Range is oversoldPrice is close to the 50 Day Moving AveragePrice is near the Fibonacci 23.6% retracement levelThe price has declined below the moving average in the center of the Bollinger Bands
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It was the negative week for the Air Products & Chemicals (APD). During the week, the APD dropped -3.59 points, or -1.48%, and closed at 238.68 on Friday, April 5, 2024. APD was trading at average weekly trading volume.

APD is a member of Materials Sector. Materials is the most overbought sector. Sector/industry rotation is considered a proven strategy to beat the market. Use the following links to find overbought/oversold technical indicators by Sector or by Industry.

Long-term trend: [See APD long-term trend chart]
A long-term downtrend had started on December 13, 2022 at 328.56 and reached 212.24 on February 6, 2024. APD lost 116.32 points, or 35.40%, in 60 weeks. The chart has formed a Rising Wedge chart pattern. The downtrend support line (308.75) is broken. Usually a broken support is considered to be a long-term bearish signal, although a short-term pull back is possible. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend support in a long-term trend.

Medium-term trend: [See APD medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term downtrend had started on September 15, 2023 at 307.71 and reached 212.24 on February 6, 2024. APD lost 95.47 points, or 31.03%, in 20 weeks. The price is now at the 27.69% retracement level.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See APD weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly technical indicators are neutral.

The weekly MACD line is below its signal line since September 22, 2023. This is an indication that the medium-term trend is down. The distance between MACD and the signal line is low and getting smaller. It indicates that the current medium-term downtrend is getting weak. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See APD short-term trend chart]
A short-term downtrend had started on March 11, 2024 at 249.34 and reached 234.96 on March 22, 2024. APD lost 14.38 points, or 5.77%, in 11 days. Price is near the Fibonacci 23.6% retracement level. The Fibonacci retracement level is considered a support/resistance level.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See APD daily technical indicators chart]
Daily Williams' Percentage Range is oversold. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with daily oversold Williams' Percentage Range. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following link to access Williams' Percentage Range help.

During the last week, daily MACD line has moved below its signal line. Such crossover is considered a bearish signal.

During the last week, the price has fallen below the Parabolic SAR (stop and reversal). A Parabolic SAR above the price is a bearish signal, and it indicates that momentum is likely to remain in the downward direction. A Parabolic SAR is used as a trailing stop loss for long or short positions. It works best during strong trending periods. Use the following links to access Parabolic SAR Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the Parabolic SAR close to the price level.

During the last week, the price has declined below the moving average in the center of the Bollinger Bands. The Bollinger Bands are often used with a non-oscillator indicator like chart patterns or a trendline. The signals are considered more reliable if these indicators confirm the recommendation of the Bollinger Bands. Use the following links to access the Bollinger Bands Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the price above the Upper Bollinger Band or below the Lower Bollinger Band.

Price is close to the 50 Day Moving Average. While daily technical indicators are oversold, the 50 Day Moving Average is considered a support level. The moving average crossover signals work better when the stock develops a strong trend, but they are ineffective when the stock is in a trading range. Moving average crossover systems can be effective, but should be used in conjunction with trend patterns, momentum indicators, candlesticks and other aspects of technical analysis. Use the following links to access Moving Average Crossover trading technique, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the Moving Average close to the price level.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 39.59
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 86.60
Oversold
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 46.44
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 33.13
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 0.14
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 32.14
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 62.20
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 51.86
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 43.74
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) -11.03
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Upper Bollinger Band 247.11
Parabolic System 244.73
20 Day Moving Average 241.47
Daily Stochastic Crossing 239.53
Price 238.68
50 Day Moving Average 238.03
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 232.83
Lower Bollinger Band 232.65
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector Materials 10
Industry Industrial Gases 52
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
High 249.34
High Date 03/11/2024
Low 234.96
Low Date 03/22/2024
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 212.24
Low Date 02/06/2024
High 249.34
High Date 03/11/2024
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 307.71
High Date 09/15/2023
Low 212.24
Low Date 02/06/2024
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern Rising Wedge
Status Broken Support
Resistance 321.00
Support 308.75
High 328.56
High Date 12/13/2022
Low 212.24
Low Date 02/06/2024
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 23.00
Low Date 03/08/2000
High 328.56
High Date 12/13/2022
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.