The Greedy Trader Weekly Analysis
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Uptrend Exhaustion

Uptrend Exhaustion stock alert presents a technical analysis stock market picking technique based on combination of technical indicators, stock trend analysis, trend following indicators and pattern recognition. Stock market alert is a warning signal. Uptrend Exhaustion alert indicates that long term uptrend is exhausted and probability of long term trend reversal is high. Uptrend exhaustion stock market alert presents relatively low to medium risk - high reword stock pick for overvalued stocks.

The strategy is based on selling (or taking a short) position on anticipation of uptrend reversal.

Uptrend Exhaustion

Archive
- 2/27/2026 -
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Dow Jones (^DJI) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Stochastic signal line moved below overbought areaWeekly  MACD line has moved below its signal line
Daily :The price has fallen below the Parabolic SARPrice has crossed below the 50 Day Moving AverageMACD bullish divergenceThe price has declined below the moving average in the center of the Bollinger Bands
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It was the negative week for the Dow Jones (^DJI). During the week, the ^DJI dropped -648.05 points, or -1.31%, and closed at 48977.92 on Friday, February 27, 2026. It was the worst weekly loss since November 21, 2025. Weekly volume was 13% above average.

Long-term trend: [See ^DJI long-term trend chart]
A long-term uptrend had started on April 7, 2025 at 36611.78 and reached 50512.79 on February 10, 2026. ^DJI gained -13901.01 points, or -37.97%, in 44 weeks. The price is now at the 11.04% retracement level.

Medium-term trend: [See ^DJI medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term downtrend had started on February 10, 2026 at 50512.79 and reached 48678.78 on February 27, 2026. ^DJI lost 1834.01 points, or 3.63%, in 2 weeks. The chart has formed a Falling Wedge chart pattern. The trend support level is at 48449.15 and resistance is at 49035.64. A Falling Wedge is a triangle formation with a noticeable slant to the downside. It represents the loss of a downside momentum on each successive low and has a bullish bias. The Falling wedge usually marks a reversal in a downtrend. In an uptrend a falling wedge is considered to be a continuation pattern. Use the following link to access a Falling Wedge chart pattern help, or use a Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with Falling Wedge pattern in a medium-term trend.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See ^DJI weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly technical indicators are neutral. During the last week, weekly Lane's Stochastic signal line (%D) has moved below overbought area. Such crossover is considered a bearish signal. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following link to access Lane's Stochastic help.

During the last week, weekly MACD line has moved below its signal line. Such crossover is considered a bearish signal. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See ^DJI short-term trend chart]
A short-term downtrend had started on February 23, 2026 at 48731.46 and reached 48678.78 on February 27, 2026. ^DJI lost 52.68 points, or 0.11%, in 4 days. The price is now at the 567.84% retracement level.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See ^DJI daily technical indicators chart]
Daily technical indicators are neutral. Daily MACD has bullish divergence. Use the following links to access the MACD help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with daily MACD bullish divergence. The divergence between price and indicator is considering one of the most important buy/sell stocks trading signal.

The daily MACD line is below its signal line since February 12, 2026. This is an indication that the short-term trend is down.

During the last week, the price has fallen below the Parabolic SAR (stop and reversal). A Parabolic SAR above the price is a bearish signal, and it indicates that momentum is likely to remain in the downward direction. A Parabolic SAR is used as a trailing stop loss for long or short positions. It works best during strong trending periods. Use the following links to access Parabolic SAR Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the Parabolic SAR close to the price level.

During the last week, the price has declined below the moving average in the center of the Bollinger Bands. The Bollinger Bands are often used with a non-oscillator indicator like chart patterns or a trendline. The signals are considered more reliable if these indicators confirm the recommendation of the Bollinger Bands. Use the following links to access the Bollinger Bands Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the price above the Upper Bollinger Band or below the Lower Bollinger Band.

During the last week, the price has crossed below the 50 Day Moving Average. Such crossover is considered a bearish signal. The moving average crossover signals work better when the stock develops a strong trend, but they are ineffective when the stock is in a trading range. Moving average crossover systems can be effective, but should be used in conjunction with trend patterns, momentum indicators, candlesticks and other aspects of technical analysis. Use the following links to access Moving Average Crossover trading technique, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the Moving Average close to the price level.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 34.00
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 61.30
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 32.66
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 35.11
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 131.52 Bullish
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 67.55
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 24.90
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 74.27
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 68.10
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 1214.90
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Upper Bollinger Band 50178.40
Parabolic System 49827.83
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 49746.97
20 Day Moving Average 49481.00
Daily Stochastic Crossing 49163.83
50 Day Moving Average 49094.39
Weekly Trendline Resistance 49035.64
Price 48977.92
Lower Bollinger Band 48541.31
Weekly Trendline Support 48449.15
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector
Industry
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
High 48731.46
High Date 02/23/2026
Low 48678.78
Low Date 02/27/2026
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern Falling Wedge
Status Valid
Resistance 49035.64
Support 48449.15
High 50512.79
High Date 02/10/2026
Low 48678.78
Low Date 02/27/2026
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 36611.78
Low Date 04/07/2025
High 50512.79
High Date 02/10/2026
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 28660.94
Low Date 10/13/2022
High 50512.79
High Date 02/10/2026
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 6440.08
Low Date 03/09/2009
High 50512.79
High Date 02/10/2026
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.