The Greedy Trader Weekly Analysis
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Uptrend Exhaustion

Uptrend Exhaustion stock alert presents a technical analysis stock market picking technique based on combination of technical indicators, stock trend analysis, trend following indicators and pattern recognition. Stock market alert is a warning signal. Uptrend Exhaustion alert indicates that long term uptrend is exhausted and probability of long term trend reversal is high. Uptrend exhaustion stock market alert presents relatively low to medium risk - high reword stock pick for overvalued stocks.

The strategy is based on selling (or taking a short) position on anticipation of uptrend reversal.

Uptrend Exhaustion

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- 4/17/2026 -
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Dow Jones (^DJI) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Stochastic signal line moved above oversold areaBroken trend resistance line
Daily :Williams' Percentage Range is overboughtRelative Strength Index and Lane's Stochastic are strongly overboughtPrice has crossed above the 50 Day Moving Average
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It was a third positive week after 5 consecutive negative weeks for the Dow Jones (^DJI). During the week, the ^DJI gained 1530.86 points, or 3.19%, and closed at 49447.43 on Friday, April 17, 2026. ^DJI was trading at average weekly trading volume.

Long-term trend: [See ^DJI long-term trend chart]
A long-term uptrend had started on October 13, 2022 at 28660.94 and reached 50512.79 on February 10, 2026. ^DJI gained -21851.85 points, or -76.24%, in 173 weeks. The chart has formed a Broadening Ascending Wedge chart pattern. The trend support level is at 39991.00 and resistance is at 51621.64. A Broadening Ascending Wedge pattern is considered to be a reversal formation. It usually appears in a mature trend, characterized by overbought/oversold long-term and short-term indicators, and often generates divergence on long-term indicators. Use the following link to access a Broadening Ascending Wedge chart pattern help, or use a Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with Broadening Ascending Wedge pattern in a long-term trend.

Medium-term trend: [See ^DJI medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term downtrend had started on February 10, 2026 at 50512.79 and reached 45057.28 on March 30, 2026. ^DJI lost 5455.51 points, or 10.80%, in 6 weeks. The chart has formed a Falling Channel chart pattern. The downtrend resistance line (43531.81) is broken. Usually a broken resistance is considered to be a long-term bullish signal, but since daily indicators are overbought a short-term pull back is possible. ^DJI may retest the broken resistance line. It is considered to be a support line now. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend resistance line in a medium-term trend.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See ^DJI weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly technical indicators are neutral. During the last week, weekly Lane's Stochastic signal line (%D) has moved above oversold area. Such crossover is considered a bullish signal. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following link to access Lane's Stochastic help.

The weekly MACD line is below its signal line since February 20, 2026. This is an indication that the medium-term trend is down. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See ^DJI short-term trend chart]
A short-term uptrend had started on March 30, 2026 at 45057.28 and reached 49717.98 on April 17, 2026. ^DJI gained -4660.70 points, or -10.34%, in 18 days. The price is now at the 5.80% retracement level.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See ^DJI daily technical indicators chart]
Daily Williams' Percentage Range is overbought while Relative Strength Index and Lane's Stochastic are strongly overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with overbought daily Williams' Percentage Range or strongly overbought daily Relative Strength Index and Lane's Stochastic. Use the following links to access Relative Strength Index and Williams' Percentage Range help.

The daily MACD line is above its signal line since March 31, 2026. This is an indication that the short-term trend is up. The distance between MACD and the signal line is near its high and getting bigger. It indicates that the current short-term uptrend is strong.

During the last week, the price has advanced above the 50 Day Moving Average. While the medium-term trend is down and daily technical indicators are overbought, the 50 Day Moving Average is considered a resistance level. The moving average crossover signals work better when the stock develops a strong trend, but they are ineffective when the stock is in a trading range. Moving average crossover systems can be effective, but should be used in conjunction with trend patterns, momentum indicators, candlesticks and other aspects of technical analysis. Use the following links to access Moving Average Crossover trading technique, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the Moving Average close to the price level.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 90.72
Strong Overbought
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 19.90
Overbought
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 94.50
Strong Overbought
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 88.43
Overbought
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 25.64
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 49.75
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 31.60
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 29.26
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 49.52
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 636.89
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Quarterly Trendline Resistance 51621.64
Upper Bollinger Band 50099.42
Daily Stochastic Crossing 49555.24
Price 49447.43
50 Day Moving Average 47941.43
Parabolic System 47226.24
20 Day Moving Average 47030.25
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 46721.53
Lower Bollinger Band 45197.11
Weekly Trendline Resistance 44603.02
Weekly Trendline Support 43531.81
Quarterly Trendline Support 39991.00
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector
Industry
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Low 45057.28
Low Date 03/30/2026
High 49717.98
High Date 04/17/2026
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern Falling Channel
Status Broken Resistance
Resistance 44603.02
Support 43531.81
High 50512.79
High Date 02/10/2026
Low 45057.28
Low Date 03/30/2026
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 36611.78
Low Date 04/07/2025
High 50512.79
High Date 02/10/2026
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Broadening Ascending Wedge
Status Valid
Resistance 51621.64
Support 39991.00
Low 28660.94
Low Date 10/13/2022
High 50512.79
High Date 02/10/2026
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 6440.08
Low Date 03/09/2009
High 50512.79
High Date 02/10/2026
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.