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Stock Market Trend Analysis Newsletter.

The Stock Market Week - 2/20/2009

All the major US indices were negative. For the week the Dow Jones Industrial Average dropped 484.74 points, or 6.17%. The Standard & Poor's 500 Index dropped 56.79 points, or 6.87%, while the Nasdaq Composite dropped 93.13 points, or 6.07%.

The Consumer Staples sector was the strongest sector last week followed by the Health Care sector. The Financial sector was the worst performing sector of the week followed by the Energy sector.

S&P 500 chart wave analysis and technical indicators suggest that the downtrend might be close to completion with the target around 650.
Standard & Poor's 500 Index Trend Analysis
Standard & Poor's 500 Index is in a long-term down trend that started on 10/11/2007 at 1576.09. According to the Elliot Wave Principle, the market?s progress ultimately takes the form of the five waves structure. The first (I) wave down has been completed on 1/23/2008 at 1270.05 and dropped almost 20%. According to the Wave Principle, the third wave is the strongest and the broadest and it generates the greatest volume and price movement. The third (III) wave down has started on 5/19/2008 at 1440.24 and dropped more than 48.5%, reaching 741.02 level on 11/21/2008.
Standard & Poor's 500 - Long-Term Trend (two years)
Technical Stock Market Timing System
The fifth (V) wave is in progress now. It has started on 1/69/2009 at 943.85 and dropped more than 20% so far reaching 754.25 on 2/20/2009. The fifth (V) wave has three sub waves:
  • 1. - a, b, c, d, e, f, g structure
  • 2. - a, b, c structure
  • 3. - a, b, c, d, e . . . structure
Sub wave 3 is in progress now.
Standard & Poor's 500 - Medium-Term Trend (one year)
Technical Stock Market Timing System
In three waves structure the sub wave 3 is usually similar to the sub wave 1. The sub wave 3 has formed a, b, c, and d sub waves; the e sub wave is in progress now. To complete the pattern, the sub wave 3 should complete e, f, and g sub waves. In this scenario, the downtrend might be completed in approximately a week or two with the target around 650.
Standard & Poor's 500 - Short-Term Trend (six months)
Technical Stock Market Timing System
Daily Williams' % Range and Lane's Stochastic are oversold while weekly Williams' % Range is strongly oversold. More than 20% of S&P 500 index members are oversold while only one is overbought. Technical indicators confirm the wave structure analysis that the downtrend might be close to completion.
Presented by www.thegreedytrader.com Research Group.

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The Dow Jones has formed the Elliott Wave Impulse Wave pattern
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Oct 02, 2022
The S&P 500 - fifth consecutive negative week
More than 40% of S&P 500 component stocks have oversold weekly Williams' Percentage Range (W%R). It is the highest level since March 20, 2020.
May 08, 2022
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The Dow Jones price is near the 200 Day Moving Average.
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Mar 22, 2020
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Mar 14, 2020
S&P 500 Rising Wedge Breakdown
The S&P 500 intermediate trend Rising Wedge breakdown caused the biggest weekly loss since October 2008.
Mar 1 , 2020
NASDAQ biggest weekly advance
It was the biggest weekly NASDAQ advance recorded. More than 30% of S&P members are trading at their highest price in the past 52 weeks.
Jan 7 , 2018
Eighth consecutive positive week
It was the eighth consecutive positive week for S&P 500 index. More than 40% of S&P 500 component stocks have overbought weekly Lane's Stochastic. It is the highest level since April 29, 2016.
Nov 5 , 2017
ETF's Currency Shares Alert.
CurrencyShares Swedish Krona Trust (FXS) weekly downtrend reached 116.62 on September 27, making the biggest weekly drop since October 2015.
Sep 24, 2017
Dow Jones Industrial Average monthly uptrend - five-wave structure.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average monthly uptrend has formed a five-wave structure. It started on April 19, 2017 at 20,379.55 and reached 22,419.51 on September 21, 2017.
Sep 24, 2017
Sixth consecutive positive week for the S&P 500.
Almost 56% of S&P 500 component stocks have overbought weekly Williams' Percentage Range. It is the highest level since December 26, 2014.
Mar 5 , 2017
Third consecutive negative week for the Dow Jones
Almost 40% of S&P 500 component stocks have oversold daily Lane's Stochastic. It is a highest level since November 16, 2012.
Mar 15, 2015
Dow Jones is near 200 Day Moving Average
During the past week, Dow Jones Industrial Average sank 507.65 points or 2.87%, to 17164.95. Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are overbought in a monthly time frame. The Dow Jones price is near 200 Day Moving Average.
Feb 1 , 2015
S&P 500 at highest level since Oct 2007
The major indices and more than a half of S&P 500 members are strongly overbought in daily, weekly, and monthly time frames.
Mar 17, 2013
S&P 500 members Downtrend Resistance Alert
Dow Jones, NASDAQ, and More than 40% of S&P 500 members have the Downtrend Resistance Alert.
Oct 30, 2011
The short-term rally is over
S&P 500 index may break the support around 1100 and move down to the next support area around 1000 - 950.
Sep 5 , 2011
S&P 500 is close to the 50 Day Moving Average
S&P 500 index has fallen below the Parabolic SAR (stop and reversal). Price is close to the 50 Day Moving Average.
Mar 13, 2011
S&P 500 index wave's structure
S&P 500 medium-term uptrend has a five wave's structure. The fifth sub wave is near completion.
Dec 26, 2010
Monthly W%R is strongly overbought for the first time since October 2007
The S&P 500 technical indicators are pretty close to the beginning of October 2007, just a week prior the beginning of the bear market of 2007-2009.
Oct 17, 2010
More than a half of S&P 500 members are overbought
More than 10% of S&P 500 index members made a new 52-week high, but almost a half of them closed this week below the previous week's close.
Sep 12, 2010
S&P 500 members - Trend Support Alert
Daily and weekly indicators are oversold for all three major US indices. More than 28% of S&P members are oversold, and more than 22% have a Trend Support Alert.
Jul 4 , 2010
S&P 500 members - Downtrend Resistance alert
More than 60 S&P members have the Downtrend Resistance Alert. Daily Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are strongly overbought.
Jun 20, 2010
S&P 500 members - uptrend support alert
More than 30% of S&P 500 members have an uptrend support alert. This alert indicates that stock price is near the monthly uptrend support level.
May 23, 2010
Dow Jones Elliott Wave count
Dow Jones gained 68.03% in 53 weeks. The chart has formed a Rising Channel chart pattern. Fifth wave up is in progress.
Mar 21, 2010
NASDAQ at the highest level since September 2008
NASDAQ medium-term trend has formed a five-wave structure. The fifth wave is in progress now. The price is near the trend resistance line (2331.43).
Mar 5 , 2010

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Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.